NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	4.1 [1005]		MVP	Al Harrington (ATL): +19.0%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.5 [962]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -15.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	69%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Jackie Butler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	8	88%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.03
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	54%	0.00	3	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	15	67%	0.19	1	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.14	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.03	0.07	9	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.09	10	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	9	37%	-0.06	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	29.3	16.4	27.6	2.6	31.2	134.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +12.4%

ATL +0.3%

ATL +10.5%

ATL +23.6%

ATL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.6	105.2	125.0	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	14.7	13.7	13.0	14.2
ATL	16.9	16.0	14.0	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	55	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-15	11	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Jamal Crawford	55	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-13	7	13.3	15.4	-2.07	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Nate Robinson	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-8	-3	12.9	15.1	-2.20	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Jackie Butler	52	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-17	15	14.3	14.2	0.09	15.4	16.2	-0.89
Maurice Taylor	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-9	-1	15.2	13.6	1.64	16.5	15.3	1.25
Eddy Curry	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-2	-15	14.2	14.3	-0.09	16.2	15.4	0.89
David Lee	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-8	-3	13.4	15.7	-2.30	14.7	17.7	-2.97
Quentin Richardson	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-9	-1	15.5	13.2	2.26	17.0	14.9	2.15
Stephon Marbury	56	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-8	-3	15.1	13.1	1.98	16.7	14.5	2.17
Malik Rose	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-6	-7	15.3	13.5	1.80	17.4	14.7	2.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	58	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-1	21	16.3	15.0	1.28	15.7	11.8	3.88
Joe Johnson	62	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-1	21	16.0	15.4	0.56	15.9	11.2	4.73
Marvin Williams	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.14	18	1	17	14.4	18.2	-3.77	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Josh Childress	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	7	5	15.2	17.3	-2.07	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	1	17	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Tyronn Lue	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	10	-1	14.5	16.5	-2.01	14.9	13.9	0.97
John Edwards	21	20	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	12	-5	16.3	15.6	0.72	11.8	14.9	-3.01
Josh Smith	50	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	19	-19	17.3	14.1	3.23	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Salim Stoudamire	45	43	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	18	-17	14.9	16.5	-1.58	12.7	15.5	-2.86
Royal Ivey	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	23	-27	19.5	14.7	4.80	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Esteban Batista	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	25	-31	16.0	15.7	0.29	15.8	13.8	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 99, CHA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 73, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%