NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	73		Excitement	3.8 [1066]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (WAS): +14.9%
Washington Wizards	86		Comeback	1.6 [558]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -7.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	19	47%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	8	75%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	10	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.6	15.8	27.2	2.5	28.5	124.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +21.4%

WAS +9.3%

WAS +4.5%

WAS +11.9%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.4	15.4	82.0	98.9	104.1
season	16.6	15.1		101.7	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.7	15.8	18.6	17.6	17.3
WAS	13.7	13.5	17.4	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	11.5	17.5	-5.96	27.0	15.2	11.76
Marquis Teague	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	11.5	17.5	-5.96	27.0	15.2	11.76
Taj Gibson	54	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-19	25	16.8	18.1	-1.30	15.4	15.3	0.08
Daequan Cook	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-20	27	16.2	17.6	-1.48	17.9	14.7	3.29
Nate Robinson	54	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-15	17	16.8	18.1	-1.30	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Marco Belinelli	42	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	16.8	17.8	-0.98	13.5	16.9	-3.43
Richard Hamilton	28	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	2	-17	18.9	16.6	2.29	16.2	14.9	1.29
Jimmy Butler	81	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	17.5	15.2	2.28	15.7	11.5	4.17
Joakim Noah	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	17.6	15.3	2.30	15.7	12.4	3.27
Kirk Hinrich	41	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	7	-27	17.9	16.9	1.02	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Carlos Boozer	45	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	9	-31	17.7	17.0	0.69	14.5	16.3	-1.83

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	55	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.07	22	-9	31	15.2	15.7	-0.59	17.9	16.4	1.48
Emeka Okafor	55	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-7	27	15.7	14.8	0.95	17.7	16.7	1.05
Bradley Beal	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	15.7	14.8	0.92	17.4	17.2	0.17
John Wall	49	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.05	18	-5	23	15.3	15.4	-0.12	17.2	17.4	-0.20
Martell Webster	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	2	9	16.1	14.8	1.26	18.2	16.7	1.47
Trevor Ariza	48	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	11	-9	14.8	16.1	-1.26	16.7	18.2	-1.47
A.J. Price	38	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	18	-23	15.4	15.3	0.12	17.1	17.5	-0.33
Jordan Crawford	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	16	-19	14.8	15.7	-0.92	17.2	17.4	-0.17
Garrett Temple	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	0.0	15.4	-15.38	6.0	17.5	-11.45
Kevin Seraphin	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	19	-25	14.6	16.0	-1.38	16.5	18.0	-1.41
Trevor Booker	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	23	-33	16.3	15.0	1.26	17.4	17.3	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 84, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 101, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%