NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	4.0 [998]		MVP	Hubert Davis (WAS): +21.6%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.3 [840]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -14.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	76%	0.02	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	8	74%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Matt Bullard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	-0.11	21	30%	-0.07	2	-0.01	4	0%	-0.04
Lee Nailon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	11	9%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.03	0.01	11	87%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	38	59%	0.15	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.6	15.5	25.4	2.3	28.4	125.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +60.2%

CHH -2.4%

CHH -5.9%

CHH -4.5%

WAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	15.6	103.4	123.0	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		102.2	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.8	17.8	16.4	14.0	15.9
WAS	14.2	17.4	19.6	18.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	35	34	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-26	35	15.8	16.0	-0.23	17.7	16.9	0.84
Jamaal Magloire	36	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-16	15	16.1	15.8	0.25	17.1	17.3	-0.24
Kirk Haston	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	12.5	16.1	-3.57	17.5	17.2	0.32
Robert Traylor	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	11.3	16.3	-5.03	17.8	17.1	0.69
Jerome Moiso	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	12.5	16.1	-3.57	17.5	17.2	0.32
Matt Bullard	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-15	13	13.7	16.4	-2.74	17.7	17.1	0.60
Lee Nailon	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-9	1	15.0	17.2	-2.24	16.1	18.8	-2.73
Stacey Augmon	31	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-5	-7	16.7	15.4	1.30	18.9	16.3	2.55
P.J. Brown	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.5	14.4	2.06	16.8	18.3	-1.45
Elden Campbell	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	4	-25	17.1	14.1	3.05	17.6	16.5	1.14
Baron Davis	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	2	-21	15.9	15.9	-0.00	17.0	18.9	-1.93
David Wesley	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.23	-26	9	-35	16.2	15.2	0.97	17.2	17.2	-0.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.10	24	-7	31	17.2	17.2	0.04	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Jahidi White	63	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-6	29	17.7	15.9	1.82	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Michael Jordan	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	-7	31	16.8	19.0	-2.24	15.8	16.2	-0.33
Hubert Davis	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-1	19	17.8	13.7	4.09	16.0	15.5	0.43
Popeye Jones	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-1	19	17.9	16.2	1.67	17.0	14.2	2.81
Tyrone Nesby	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	18	-19	16.9	17.5	-0.55	15.0	16.9	-1.93
Kwame Brown	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.5	17.2	0.32	12.5	16.1	-3.57
Brendan Haywood	23	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	20	-23	15.4	17.8	-2.45	16.1	15.8	0.24
Etan Thomas	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	21	-25	14.0	17.5	-3.48	19.8	15.6	4.22
Tyronn Lue	32	33	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.26	-12	29	-41	17.1	17.3	-0.21	15.6	16.1	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 73, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%