NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	3.4 [1099]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +25.7%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	1.1 [1291]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -8.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Foye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	11	58%	0.10	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Richard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.07	10	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.04	-0.05	13	71%	0.26	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.01	0.03	10	90%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	110%	0.11	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	7	93%	0.16	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Hart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	4	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.05	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	26.5	15.5	24.2	2.0	32.4	125.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.4%

MIN -4.7%

UTA +11.3%

UTA +6.9%

MIN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.4	109.9	125.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		102.2	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	17.6	16.3	14.4	16.4
UTA	15.1	15.9	15.7	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	12.5	16.9	-4.37	10.7	15.6	-4.90
Craig Smith	26	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	17.0	16.2	0.81	16.5	14.4	2.17
Chris Richard	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	15.4	16.7	-1.27	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Michael Doleac	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-16	15	14.4	16.8	-2.43	17.1	14.5	2.60
Kirk Snyder	47	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-8	-1	15.9	17.0	-1.10	15.9	13.9	2.00
Rashad McCants	34	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-12	7	15.9	16.7	-0.80	16.3	14.1	2.24
Corey Brewer	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-10	3	16.7	16.0	0.64	14.0	15.9	-1.93
Marko Jaric	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	16.4	16.4	-0.07	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Al Jefferson	51	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	2	-21	17.5	15.0	2.47	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Randy Foye	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	3	-23	16.8	15.4	1.42	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Ryan Gomes	54	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	6	-29	16.9	15.6	1.24	15.1	14.6	0.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	52	50	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-1	19	15.8	13.9	1.93	16.6	16.1	0.52
Deron Williams	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	-7	31	15.1	14.3	0.84	17.5	12.8	4.71
Carlos Boozer	65	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-2	21	14.6	15.8	-1.22	16.5	16.2	0.21
Mehmet Okur	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-7	31	15.5	13.3	2.11	17.2	13.7	3.56
Andrei Kirilenko	46	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-1	19	14.8	15.1	-0.35	17.4	15.4	1.96
Matt Harpring	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	14	-11	17.0	13.8	3.20	16.2	16.5	-0.21
Paul Millsap	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	19	-21	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.8	16.8	-0.93
CJ Miles	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	23	-29	13.4	15.5	-2.05	13.3	17.5	-4.23
Jason Hart	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	10.7	15.6	-4.90	12.5	16.9	-4.37
Jarron Collins	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	10.8	15.6	-4.75	13.1	16.9	-3.86
Morris Almond	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	11.8	15.3	-3.50	12.7	16.7	-3.98
Kyle Korver	32	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	14	-11	14.9	15.0	-0.09	17.0	16.1	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
BKN 73, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIA 83, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%