inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 84 Excitement4.2 [960] MVPDell Curry (TOR): +10.0%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.2 [682] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -18.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dell Curry0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.00972%0.1000.0000%0.00
Charles Oakley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.013100%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
John Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07737%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Vince Carter-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.011357%0.035-0.062100%0.00
Dee Brown-0.040,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.020.03757%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.021052%-0.003-0.055100%0.01
Antonio Davis-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00442%-0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Kevin Willis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01557%0.003-0.074100%0.01
Doug Christie-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.03-0.03911%-0.104-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021366%0.101-0.023100%0.04
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.000.06771%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.011145%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.021152%0.022-0.043100%0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.010.051059%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.03650%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011336%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Ron Mercer0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.042032%-0.0600.001100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.429.415.623.21.727.0123.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -10.8%
DEN +5.7%
DEN +23.4%
DEN +25.7%
DEN +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game13.714.915.284.8106.9101.7
season15.514.8101.8101.5
opponent15.014.9103.7102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.313.414.413.713.7
DEN13.814.814.416.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams2020-0.01-0.490.490.17-6-191312.913.9-0.9715.914.71.29
Michael Stewart2222-0.08-0.420.330.18-9-16713.013.9-0.8816.414.51.85
John Thomas3031-0.10-0.400.300.28-13-12-113.114.0-0.9016.014.51.52
Tracy McGrady6163-0.11-0.390.270.18-10-15513.214.6-1.4715.414.21.19
Dell Curry4042-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-16713.913.60.3715.514.51.04
Antonio Davis4445-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-191314.313.21.1014.215.4-1.19
Kevin Willis5051-0.23-0.270.040.07-10-15513.014.4-1.3915.214.60.61
Muggsy Bogues4446-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-14313.513.9-0.3715.114.70.36
Dee Brown3939-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-15514.213.40.8314.515.2-0.69
Doug Christie5053-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-14314.313.11.2413.316.7-3.43
Vince Carter5658-0.35-0.15-0.190.18-18-7-1113.713.7-0.0314.715.1-0.39
Charles Oakley3940-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.01-12-13114.813.01.7614.415.2-0.84

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz59570.52-0.020.54-0.031961314.415.7-1.3214.412.91.51
James Posey55530.460.040.420.021510514.515.4-0.8714.213.21.03
Nick Van Exel63600.380.120.260.031213-114.016.4-2.4713.913.40.48
Ron Mercer69670.350.150.21-0.061411315.014.70.3215.011.13.89
Antonio McDyess45460.290.210.08-0.031114-314.315.4-1.0415.212.52.70
Keon Clark58560.230.27-0.04-0.181411315.514.11.4413.114.6-1.47
George McCloud54530.110.39-0.28-0.301411315.114.70.3412.914.7-1.81
Bryant Stith16150.000.50-0.50-0.15520-1515.714.80.9912.114.0-1.96
Cory Alexander980.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2314.215.0-0.7610.914.0-3.10
Roy Rogers3331-0.040.54-0.59-0.19520-1515.814.51.3012.314.4-2.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 104, GSW 1310.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
POR 79, MIA 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
CHI 73, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%