NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	4.4 [909]		MVP	Mark Price (ORL): +15.8%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	2.2 [913]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	17	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Closs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Price	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	13	88%	0.21	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	13	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.00	-0.09	17	44%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	12	43%	0.02	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brian Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	70%	0.05	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	17	54%	0.02	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	24.5	16.3	23.6	2.5	29.6	125.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.9%

ORL +9.1%

ORL +17.9%

LAC -2.7%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	15.6	102.2	123.1	102.5
season	15.5	16.7		101.0	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	16.9	15.0	15.4	14.9
ORL	14.3	15.2	16.3	21.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-24	30	13.4	15.7	-2.33	18.1	15.7	2.40
Lamond Murray	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	14.0	15.7	-1.64	18.5	15.0	3.48
Lorenzen Wright	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-16	14	14.9	14.9	-0.01	18.7	14.6	4.16
Pooh Richardson	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-10	2	16.6	14.2	2.35	21.0	14.7	6.38
Maurice Taylor	10	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-10	2	14.8	15.0	-0.15	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Brent Barry	68	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-10	2	14.7	15.7	-0.99	16.1	17.9	-1.86
Eric Piatkowski	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-8	-2	15.7	14.7	0.99	17.9	16.1	1.86
Darrick Martin	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	-8	-2	14.2	16.6	-2.35	14.7	21.0	-6.38
Stojko Vrankovic	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.1	14.2	1.84	14.8	17.7	-2.89
Loy Vaught	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-3	-12	15.3	14.3	0.99	14.9	19.2	-4.31
Rodney Rogers	58	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.03	-20	2	-22	15.4	14.2	1.16	15.6	18.2	-2.56

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Price	55	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-2	22	15.5	18.1	-2.54	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Horace Grant	65	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.28	25	-7	32	16.6	16.3	0.34	16.0	12.0	3.97
Derek Strong	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	8	2	17.3	15.4	1.89	15.8	13.8	1.93
Nick Anderson	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	6	6	15.1	18.2	-3.14	15.7	14.1	1.54
Bo Outlaw	79	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	9	0	16.6	16.1	0.54	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Gerald Wilkins	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	6	6	17.8	14.9	2.94	15.1	14.8	0.28
Rony Seikaly	63	61	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	17	-16	15.8	18.3	-2.51	13.2	18.3	-5.06
Darrell Armstrong	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	17	-16	17.8	15.7	2.13	15.1	14.9	0.20
Brian Evans	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	20.5	16.5	4.04	10.0	15.0	-5.04
Tim Kempton	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.0	16.5	0.46	10.0	15.0	-5.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHA 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%