NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	4.2 [1011]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +13.6%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	2.1 [772]		LVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): -11.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	21	59%	0.16	6	-0.12	12	100%	0.04
Alex Abrines	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	3	125%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dakari Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	18	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	18	49%	0.01	5	-0.10	11	82%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.04	28	54%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	12	45%	0.01	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	27%	-0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	3.0	31.2	16.7	30.2	3.4	40.5	156.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.4%

OKC -5.5%

UTA +12.6%

UTA +8.8%

OKC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	14.7	93.2	111.9	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		109.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.9	12.8	14.3	13.6	13.4
UTA	14.9	15.4	13.9	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-18	19	11.4	14.2	-2.71	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Dakari Johnson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.5	13.4	0.10	12.3	14.9	-2.60
Terrance Ferguson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.5	13.4	0.10	12.3	14.9	-2.60
Josh Huestis	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	15.2	13.2	2.00	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Alex Abrines	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-13	9	12.4	14.0	-1.59	13.5	15.6	-2.11
Raymond Felton	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-11	5	11.6	14.3	-2.75	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Jerami Grant	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-11	5	12.2	14.2	-1.92	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Russell Westbrook	76	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-3	-11	14.1	11.5	2.60	15.2	13.9	1.26
Corey Brewer	46	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-4	-9	14.3	12.6	1.72	15.7	14.2	1.55
Paul George	86	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-2	-13	13.2	14.2	-0.93	15.3	12.5	2.86
Carmelo Anthony	76	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	1	-19	14.1	11.5	2.60	15.2	14.0	1.21
Steven Adams	75	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	2	-21	14.1	11.6	2.46	15.2	14.0	1.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	71	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-5	27	15.0	14.5	0.55	13.9	12.1	1.83
Donovan Mitchell	80	84	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.13	22	-5	27	14.9	14.6	0.35	13.9	11.2	2.75
Rudy Gobert	70	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-2	21	15.2	14.1	1.04	13.9	12.2	1.64
Joe Ingles	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	2	13	15.1	14.5	0.55	13.9	12.5	1.38
Derrick Favors	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	2	13	14.5	15.8	-1.35	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Jae Crowder	61	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	14.8	15.0	-0.20	12.5	14.8	-2.34
Royce O'Neale	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	16	-15	14.9	14.8	0.01	12.8	13.8	-0.99
Alec Burks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.3	14.9	-2.60	13.5	13.4	0.10
Raul Neto	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.3	14.9	-2.60	13.5	13.4	0.10
Ekpe Udoh	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.3	14.9	-2.60	18.0	13.3	4.74
Jonas Jerebko	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	19	-21	15.3	14.8	0.57	10.9	13.8	-2.88
Dante Exum	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	24	-31	14.7	14.9	-0.24	11.5	13.9	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 90, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%