NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	6.5 [561]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +27.5%
LA Clippers	105		Comeback	2.3 [823]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): -14.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.00	20	76%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.04	0.07	21	69%	0.25	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.06	-0.04	10	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.04	-0.04	14	36%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	38%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.05

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.02	-0.03	15	74%	0.21	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	20	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.5	37.3	15.4	27.6	3.3	34.5	148.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.1%

GSW +2.5%

GSW +24.1%

LAC -6.5%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.3	116.5	106.1	109.3
season	13.4	13.9		114.5	111.3
opponent	14.1	15.0		110.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.4	14.4	15.3	17.5	14.9
LAC	17.4	11.8	13.5	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	53	52	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-5	18	15.3	14.3	1.02	14.9	14.1	0.82
Alfonzo McKinnie	25	26	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	16.7	14.2	2.48	14.3	14.6	-0.23
Klay Thompson	81	82	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	4	0	14.9	14.9	0.00	14.6	14.3	0.27
Kevon Looney	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-5	18	13.7	15.6	-1.87	14.9	14.3	0.57
Draymond Green	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-1	10	14.2	17.5	-3.32	14.6	14.2	0.44
Kevin Durant	77	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-1	10	14.2	17.6	-3.49	14.6	14.1	0.46
Shaun Livingston	22	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	11	-14	17.7	14.1	3.63	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Stephen Curry	72	74	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.3	-0.60	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Andrew Bogut	41	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	16	-24	15.7	14.3	1.35	14.5	14.5	0.05

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	46	45	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-17	26	13.8	15.2	-1.37	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Landry Shamet	58	59	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-12	16	14.1	15.2	-1.12	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Garrett Temple	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-7	6	13.7	14.7	-1.03	16.0	14.6	1.38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	61	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.6	12.8	2.72	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Danilo Gallinari	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-7	6	14.5	14.6	-0.14	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Jerome Robinson	23	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	14.5	14.5	-0.05	15.8	14.6	1.19
Wilson Chandler	24	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.5	0.14	16.3	14.4	1.87
Patrick Beverley	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	14.4	14.9	-0.47	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Montrezl Harrell	52	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.22	-17	9	-26	15.2	13.8	1.43	14.9	14.9	0.01
Lou Williams	62	60	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.32	-18	10	-28	14.3	14.9	-0.56	14.8	15.0	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.1%
CHI 115, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.1%
MIN 98, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	93.1%