NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	7.0 [432]		MVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): +14.4%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.9 [206]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -15.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	31	58%	0.18	3	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	36%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Lazar Hayward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	12	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.06	0.02	9	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	65%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	2	33%	-0.07	1	0.01	8	50%	-0.06
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	3	70%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	12	57%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	33.1	15.7	27.4	3.4	35.5	147.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.2%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +13.4%

MIN +12.3%

MIN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.5	101.0	92.7	105.7
season	14.3	14.9		102.7	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.1		107.7	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	15.1	16.1	16.1	15.6
SAC	13.6	13.2	13.9	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	40	39	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-7	23	14.8	16.1	-1.29	14.6	14.0	0.65
Nikola Pekovic	34	33	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-5	19	14.8	16.0	-1.21	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Corey Brewer	49	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-3	15	14.9	16.4	-1.48	14.4	14.0	0.43
Michael Beasley	83	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	15.7	15.3	0.38	14.5	12.9	1.54
Sebastian Telfair	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	4	1	15.9	14.4	1.50	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Maurice Ager	18	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	5	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.50	14.7	14.1	0.62
Kevin Love	55	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	16.1	15.0	1.03	14.2	14.3	-0.16
Lazar Hayward	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	11.0	15.7	-4.66	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Wesley Johnson	63	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	15	-21	16.3	14.4	1.89	13.6	15.5	-1.87
Darko Milicic	63	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	14	-19	16.0	14.8	1.21	14.3	14.0	0.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-9	9	17.6	14.0	3.61	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Omri Casspi	54	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	12.8	16.0	-3.19	17.0	13.7	3.29
Darnell Jackson	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.1	14.4	-0.26	16.0	15.2	0.77
Antoine Wright	4	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-7	5	20.2	14.0	6.28	13.2	15.7	-2.54
Luther Head	8	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	10.7	14.5	-3.80	13.7	15.7	-2.07
Tyreke Evans	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-7	5	13.1	15.9	-2.80	16.0	15.0	0.96
DeMarcus Cousins	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-8	7	13.5	14.5	-1.02	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Samuel Dalembert	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	14.3	14.0	0.31	15.9	14.7	1.20
Jason Thompson	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	15.7	13.6	2.14	14.0	16.3	-2.29
Carl Landry	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.1	13.7	1.38	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Beno Udrih	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	1	-11	14.5	12.7	1.85	15.7	15.1	0.67
Francisco Garcia	55	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	15.0	13.2	1.76	15.1	16.3	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0	93.3%
GSW 113, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.1%
UTA 112, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.37,0.17,0.34,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%