NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	7.6 [298]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +25.8%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.2 [670]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -21.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.15	-0.02	15	58%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	11	74%	0.17	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.02	10	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	12	71%	0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.01	13	84%	0.36	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.02	11	65%	0.15	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	17	51%	0.10	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jermareo Davidson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.12	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	6	67%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	30.7	15.4	29.6	2.5	29.3	135.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -18.6%

UTA +10.1%

UTA +29.9%

UTA +27.4%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	12.7	15.5	108.7	102.0	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.7	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		111.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.0	14.9	16.2	16.6	15.4
GSW	12.7	13.9	13.2	11.1	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	63	63	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.26	19	-11	30	14.9	16.2	-1.37	12.3	13.4	-1.07
Paul Millsap	56	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	14.5	16.4	-1.91	13.0	12.3	0.75
Ronnie Brewer	87	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-3	14	15.1	17.0	-1.91	12.5	14.0	-1.55
Deron Williams	89	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	0	8	15.6	14.0	1.61	12.8	12.1	0.64
Andrei Kirilenko	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	16.6	14.4	2.19	11.8	13.4	-1.66
Brevin Knight	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	14.0	15.6	-1.61	12.1	12.8	-0.64
Carlos Boozer	41	39	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.2	11.8	2.36
Mehmet Okur	56	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	8	-8	14.9	15.9	-1.01	13.2	12.1	1.13
Matt Harpring	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.2	0.69	11.0	13.2	-2.27
CJ Miles	40	39	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	19	-30	16.2	14.9	1.37	13.4	12.3	1.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	30	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	12.6	12.7	-0.18	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Anthony Morrow	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	12.9	12.5	0.41	15.0	15.8	-0.74
Jermareo Davidson	7	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	13.1	12.7	0.48	12.0	15.7	-3.67
Andris Biedrins	62	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	12.8	12.5	0.24	16.1	14.3	1.86
Marco Belinelli	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	13.0	12.5	0.46	13.2	16.5	-3.26
Anthony Randolph	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-4	0	12.9	12.4	0.53	15.5	15.3	0.21
Corey Maggette	70	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	12.6	13.0	-0.44	15.6	14.8	0.79
Kelenna Azubuike	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-7	6	13.0	11.9	1.07	15.8	14.4	1.36
CJ Watson	39	38	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	11.8	13.2	-1.42	15.7	15.2	0.51
Jamal Crawford	87	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	1	-10	12.5	13.9	-1.37	15.6	14.0	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.37,0.17,0.34,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.8%
GSW 86, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
LAC 94, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0	92.5%