NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.0 [397]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +15.8%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	1.4 [777]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -20.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	19	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	7	70%	0.22	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.15	-0.01	0.12	-0.04	15	50%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	9	22%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	20	55%	0.14	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	22	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	14	29%	-0.12	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.8	29.2	17.7	25.2	3.7	37.1	139.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.0%

LAC +15.2%

CHI -10.0%

LAC +9.4%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.4	102.2	94.7	104.1
season	15.6	16.6		109.0	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	14.3	14.7	16.8	15.7
CHI	15.6	15.7	16.0	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	59	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-8	21	15.6	15.8	-0.20	15.5	14.8	0.72
Lamar Odom	47	47	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	16.2	15.2	0.93	13.8	16.7	-2.85
Blake Griffin	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-3	11	15.5	16.6	-1.09	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Matt Barnes	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	16.0	15.4	0.60	14.2	16.5	-2.30
Chris Paul	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	-1	7	15.3	16.7	-1.38	15.4	14.9	0.46
Eric Bledsoe	28	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	5	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.08	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Caron Butler	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	3	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.60	16.5	14.2	2.30
Ronny Turiaf	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	16.6	15.5	1.09	15.8	15.1	0.74
DeAndre Jordan	45	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	5	-5	15.2	16.2	-0.93	16.7	13.8	2.85
Willie Green	30	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	14	-23	17.4	14.9	2.50	15.6	15.1	0.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	28	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-3	1	15.6	15.1	0.50	17.2	15.1	2.06
Nate Robinson	39	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-6	7	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.6	15.2	1.47
Marco Belinelli	80	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-5	5	15.3	15.1	0.13	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Taj Gibson	28	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	15.2	15.3	-0.01	16.5	15.4	1.14
Kirk Hinrich	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	1	-7	15.6	14.7	0.92	15.2	16.6	-1.47
Joakim Noah	83	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.1	16.6	-1.56	15.4	18.1	-2.70
Carlos Boozer	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.8	15.4	0.38
Luol Deng	80	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	3	-11	15.1	16.1	-0.96	15.3	17.9	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MIN 98, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	93.3%
MIL 98, LAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%