inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Excitement5.7 [710] MVPEarl Boykins (MIL): +20.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 79 Comeback1.4 [167] LVPDerek Fisher (LAL): -11.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.140.110.051285%0.232-0.022100%0.00
John Salmons0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.07-0.011454%0.172-0.06978%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.050.01567%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.01979%0.125-0.141100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.040.021357%0.022-0.054100%0.01
Jon Brockman-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.030.02944%-0.043-0.0700%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.01856%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Devin Ebanks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02753%0.073-0.081100%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.011254%0.052-0.05475%-0.01
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.041660%0.064-0.083100%0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00725%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.0220%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.021244%-0.023-0.0730%-0.04
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01617%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.61.629.515.726.10.329.0125.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +34.6%
MIL +8.5%
LAL -2.4%
MIL +5.1%
MIL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILLALNBAMILLALNBA
this game17.316.215.5115.390.8105.7
season16.215.9100.1108.8
opponent15.515.4103.1100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.815.916.819.217.3
LAL15.015.416.717.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Salmons70690.58-0.080.66-0.1525-63117.217.8-0.5717.710.57.15
Andrew Bogut63640.56-0.060.63-0.1424-52917.616.70.8717.412.74.67
Ersan Ilyasova58620.380.120.25-0.181901917.018.0-1.0415.817.1-1.27
Luc Mbah a Moute48500.330.170.17-0.02127517.517.10.3415.916.6-0.73
Earl Boykins45430.320.180.14-0.00118318.316.22.0917.115.21.87
Keyon Dooling44470.130.37-0.23-0.04613-716.618.1-1.4415.217.3-2.13
Chris Douglas-Roberts47500.130.37-0.230.05316-1316.917.8-0.9314.917.9-2.99
Jon Brockman28270.120.38-0.250.12019-1918.216.91.3216.416.10.29
Larry Sanders2223-0.060.56-0.630.08-524-2916.717.6-0.8712.717.4-4.67

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Walton9110.08-0.580.67-0.003-222517.816.01.7915.617.6-1.94
Shannon Brown30320.03-0.530.550.09-2-171514.517.0-2.5018.116.91.18
Devin Ebanks530.00-0.500.50-0.062-21236.816.7-9.9418.317.31.04
Andrew Bynum3233-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-171516.316.10.2216.218.1-1.88
Metta World Peace4544-0.19-0.310.130.22-14-5-915.417.0-1.6016.618.1-1.48
Steve Blake3334-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-161315.916.3-0.4217.917.00.87
Derek Fisher5349-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-8-316.515.70.7716.918.0-1.12
Matt Barnes3738-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.11-7-12518.414.53.8418.116.71.36
Lamar Odom7066-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-18-1-1715.817.9-2.1317.815.62.19
Kobe Bryant5855-0.530.03-0.550.12-223-2516.914.72.1717.017.9-0.93
Pau Gasol6360-0.530.03-0.570.08-212-2316.315.70.5817.716.41.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 100, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,094.4%
GSW 116, NOH 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.3%
UTA 105, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,094.1%