inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 113 Excitement6.1 [632] MVPJames Johnson (MIA): +17.8%
Philadelphia 76ers 103 Comeback2.3 [213] LVPRobert Covington (PHI): -20.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.180,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.060.027106%0.253-0.07367%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.150.120.040.011670%0.233-0.08875%0.01
Josh Richardson0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.050.020.001252%0.0700.003100%0.00
Goran Dragic0.060,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.010.041462%0.081-0.02475%-0.00
Tyler Johnson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01450%0.0400.002100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011050%0.0200.002100%0.01
Rodney McGruder0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00267%0.033-0.072100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01855%0.054-0.094100%0.01
Bam Adebayo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.0240%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Justise Winslow-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00520%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Simmons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.001760%0.142-0.04667%-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.030.011067%0.122-0.0510%-0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00560%0.041-0.0200%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.010.00150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Richaun Holmes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0-0.000.04-0.010.031352%0.021-0.03580%0.01
Markelle Fultz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.08-0.042150%0.085-0.164100%0.02
JJ Redick0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.060.041337%-0.1200.00450%-0.02
Robert Covington0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.12-0.050.031327%-0.162-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.454.00.232.32.735.3155.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +47.7%
MIA +7.6%
PHI -11.0%
MIA +3.6%
MIA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game14.513.914.7110.8102.0107.5
season15.113.9105.4108.1
opponent14.714.6103.8105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.411.714.816.514.5
PHI14.614.014.612.313.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade56550.67-0.170.840.2016-62214.414.6-0.1613.214.7-1.55
Kelly Olynyk70690.52-0.020.530.1911-11214.614.40.1813.814.0-0.14
James Johnson78770.410.090.310.2364214.215.6-1.4214.013.40.60
Goran Dragic53540.380.120.260.0611-11214.214.9-0.7314.513.11.43
Justise Winslow43440.250.25-0.010.0182614.614.40.1414.113.70.43
Rodney McGruder12130.170.33-0.15-0.0682613.214.7-1.4212.514.1-1.53
Bam Adebayo23210.170.33-0.160.0255013.814.7-0.8712.814.1-1.34
Tyler Johnson32310.140.36-0.230.0537-413.315.1-1.7814.613.51.12
Josh Richardson71690.110.39-0.290.31-717-2414.813.71.0914.013.60.36
Hassan Whiteside3132-0.000.50-0.51-0.0319-814.814.40.3914.913.41.56
Wayne Ellington4140-0.300.80-1.100.05-1222-3416.413.23.2012.814.6-1.73

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markelle Fultz1010-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-9813.813.9-0.0814.514.5-0.00
Amir Johnson4746-0.04-0.460.43-0.216-162213.314.4-1.0314.114.9-0.79
Marco Belinelli6163-0.08-0.420.35-0.142-121412.615.8-3.1515.313.22.18
Richaun Holmes76-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-6213.913.9-0.0215.214.50.71
T.J. McConnell1312-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-4-216.213.52.7115.414.41.04
Dario Saric7476-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.12-7-3-414.013.40.5815.013.01.96
Ersan Ilyasova5658-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-100-1015.212.23.0514.414.6-0.12
Ben Simmons8384-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.15-9-1-813.814.3-0.4914.215.9-1.69
JJ Redick7675-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.21-9-1-813.714.2-0.4914.614.10.53
Robert Covington7880-0.510.01-0.52-0.16-122-1413.913.80.0613.617.6-3.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 116, MIN 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,093.6%
IND 87, NJN 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,093.3%
CLE 117, DEN 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.09,093.2%