NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.2 [776]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +21.0%
New Jersey Nets	81		Comeback	1.8 [300]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -26.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	7	94%	0.22	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	58%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.03	-0.07	11	38%	-0.00	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	13	60%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	20	52%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.08	0.01	13	38%	-0.06	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.8	33.9	18.8	29.7	2.8	33.4	144.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +54.0%

NJN -0.2%

NJN -16.5%

IND +7.4%

IND +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.7	95.6	88.0	100.5
season	16.7	15.3		101.1	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.7		95.2	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	16.9	17.9	16.5	16.2
NJN	16.2	16.6	14.2	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	0	6	15.9	17.5	-1.59	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Anthony Johnson	40	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	17.1	15.5	1.59	15.4	15.1	0.29
Al Harrington	46	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.03	12	-6	18	17.0	15.4	1.51	15.9	14.6	1.25
Jeff Foster	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	10	-14	15.6	17.3	-1.67	14.9	15.8	-0.83
Austin Croshere	12	12	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-5	16	15.0	16.4	-1.39	17.8	14.9	2.95
Metta World Peace	79	79	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.40	-5	11	-16	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.9	17.4	-2.46
Kenny Anderson	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	2	2	15.5	17.1	-1.59	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Fred Jones	19	21	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	15.7	16.3	-0.66	16.0	15.1	0.94
Reggie Miller	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	11	-16	16.2	16.2	0.07	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Primoz Brezec	2	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	2	2	14.0	16.3	-2.26	9.0	15.4	-6.41
Scot Pollard	17	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	6	-6	18.2	15.8	2.42	15.8	15.1	0.72

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Armstrong	11	12	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.1	15.6	-2.48	14.7	16.4	-1.78
Zoran Planinic	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	20.3	14.9	5.43	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Jason Collins	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-12	18	16.2	13.0	3.21	16.6	15.3	1.28
Brian Scalabrine	17	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.27	15.3	16.4	-1.13
Jason Kidd	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.9	20.3	-5.43	16.2	16.0	0.23
Kerry Kittles	81	79	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-4	2	15.6	13.1	2.48	16.4	14.7	1.78
Aaron Williams	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-7	8	14.6	20.2	-5.58	16.2	15.9	0.36
Richard Jefferson	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	15.5	13.8	1.65	16.0	17.8	-1.79
Alonzo Mourning	33	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	12	-30	15.1	15.4	-0.33	16.3	16.2	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.08,0,0,0	94.2%
ATL 121, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.23,0.45,0.15,0.01,0.04,0	94.2%
SAS 109, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.9%