NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	121		Excitement	6.2 [588]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +34.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	1.6 [718]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -18.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.24	0.13	0.03	8	122%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	8	94%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.03	0.10	-0.09	15	47%	0.14	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	69%	0.17	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lamar Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	16	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.28	0.07	0.04	23	69%	0.32	1	-0.02	16	87%	0.08
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	7	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	26.5	15.5	24.3	2.5	39.8	136.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.2%

NOP -7.4%

ATL +7.5%

ATL +7.7%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOP	NBA	ATL	NOP	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.9	118.6	112.7	105.1
season	14.2	14.3		104.1	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	13.4	13.4	14.1	13.8
NOP	15.8	14.8	14.3	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-10	26	12.9	16.1	-3.28	14.7	13.9	0.80
Al Horford	68	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-4	14	12.8	15.8	-3.00	14.4	14.6	-0.15
Kent Bazemore	66	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	4	-2	14.4	12.6	1.74	14.8	13.9	0.93
Jeff Teague	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	4	-2	13.1	15.2	-2.10	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Paul Millsap	70	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	6	-6	14.1	13.1	1.02	14.8	13.8	0.95
Mike Scott	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	0	6	13.1	14.1	-1.02	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Dennis Schroder	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	4	-2	15.4	12.8	2.60	14.8	14.3	0.53
Lamar Patterson	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	16.0	13.3	2.75	14.9	14.4	0.59
Justin Holiday	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	7	-8	13.4	13.9	-0.55	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Tiago Splitter	41	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	15.0	13.0	1.98	14.5	14.5	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	19	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	14.3	14.5	-0.25	14.7	13.6	1.13
Toney Douglas	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-4	2	13.9	14.6	-0.64	13.9	13.7	0.14
Alonzo Gee	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	15.9	14.4	1.52	12.6	13.9	-1.33
Jrue Holiday	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-6	6	14.1	14.8	-0.69	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Ish Smith	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-9	12	14.4	14.6	-0.14	14.5	12.0	2.58
Dante Cunningham	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	3	-12	15.2	13.9	1.31	12.7	14.7	-1.98
Luke Babbitt	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	14.6	14.3	0.25	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Anthony Davis	88	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.9	-0.53	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Eric Gordon	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	14.5	14.3	0.15	13.9	13.1	0.76
Ryan Anderson	62	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.54	14.5	12.7	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.23,0.45,0.15,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, NJN 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	94.2%
NYK 125, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	93.4%
TOR 85, CHI 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.3%