NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	125		Excitement	5.9 [652]		MVP	Reggie Williams (GSW): +36.0%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.5 [446]		LVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): -4.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34	0.13	0.22	0.01	15	64%	0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.21	0.07	0.03	17	87%	0.32	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	-0.00	12	84%	0.32	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Henry Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	12	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	27%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.21	0.02	9	90%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.05	30	62%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	21	57%	0.10	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	32.2	14.7	25.2	2.5	33.6	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.6%

NYK +21.3%

NYK +14.8%

GSW -15.2%

NYK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	127.6	121.4	105.7
season	14.3	14.8		108.6	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	12.1	14.4	18.7	14.8
GSW	15.5	15.6	13.3	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	52	52	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-6	18	14.8	14.8	-0.01	15.2	13.9	1.32
Raymond Felton	86	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	15.2	11.9	3.26	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	15.0	13.8	1.16	14.2	16.6	-2.38
Ronny Turiaf	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	2	2	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Henry Walker	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-3	12	13.6	15.4	-1.73	15.7	14.0	1.63
Toney Douglas	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	1	4	14.3	15.1	-0.78	15.6	13.9	1.71
Danilo Gallinari	67	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	11	-16	15.3	13.6	1.75	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Landry Fields	60	58	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	7	-8	14.0	15.9	-1.87	14.2	15.2	-0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	15.2	14.2	1.01	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Andris Biedrins	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.37	8	-14	22	14.0	15.6	-1.66	15.4	13.7	1.77
Dan Gadzuric	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	3	-12	15.7	14.2	1.42	15.3	14.6	0.68
Rodney Carney	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	4	-14	16.3	14.2	2.18	12.1	15.4	-3.31
Jeff Adrien	30	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	4	-14	14.9	14.5	0.37	12.4	15.9	-3.56
Reggie Williams	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	14.6	14.6	0.04	15.1	14.4	0.69
Monta Ellis	92	92	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-8	10	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.2	9.0	6.15
Stephen Curry	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.2	17.6	-3.41	15.0	12.8	2.21
Dorell Wright	90	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.4	17.0	-2.60	14.8	14.6	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	94.2%
MIA 112, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.02,0	94.1%
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	94.0%