NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	5.3 [462]		MVP	DeJuan Wheat (VAN): +4.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	93		Comeback	1.9 [604]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -21.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	17	56%	0.08	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	63%	0.06	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	17	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	7%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.04	6	69%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.02	5	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	8	11%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	30.6	15.7	25.2	2.3	34.3	136.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.5%

MIN +18.6%

VAN -6.4%

MIN +26.3%

MIN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	VAN	NBA	MIN	VAN	NBA
this game	13.3	16.8	15.8	106.2	97.9	99.6
season	15.0	16.4		98.6	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	10.8	12.3	16.6	13.3
VAN	16.0	18.0	16.5	16.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	54	56	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	12.1	14.9	-2.82	17.9	15.3	2.54
Stephon Marbury	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	0	9	13.3	13.4	-0.08	16.2	19.8	-3.64
Anthony Peeler	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	0	9	12.9	14.9	-2.03	16.8	16.9	-0.15
Kevin Garnett	82	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	4	1	13.6	12.1	1.49	16.7	17.3	-0.52
Bill Curley	28	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	4	1	13.7	13.2	0.57	15.1	17.5	-2.36
Joe Smith	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	12	-15	14.1	11.8	2.22	16.9	16.8	0.09
Sam Mitchell	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	6	-3	13.4	13.3	0.10	16.9	16.8	0.15
Malik Sealy	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	14.4	12.4	1.95	17.3	16.4	0.86
Tom Hammonds	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	7	-5	8.2	13.6	-5.43	10.8	17.2	-6.37
Bobby Jackson	17	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	13.4	13.3	0.08	19.8	16.2	3.64

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Wheat	22	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-14	19	17.0	16.8	0.16	14.8	12.8	1.99
Pete Chilcutt	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	14.0	17.1	-3.06	14.8	13.2	1.59
Lee Mayberry	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-5	1	13.7	17.3	-3.64	15.6	13.0	2.56
Sam Mack	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-11	13	17.4	16.5	0.89	15.3	11.9	3.44
Felipe Lopez	30	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-10	11	16.0	17.2	-1.22	14.4	12.8	1.60
Michael Smith	34	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-12	15	17.6	16.4	1.27	15.0	12.3	2.65
Doug West	48	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	18.0	15.7	2.32	11.6	15.0	-3.37
Bryant Reeves	45	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-7	5	16.4	17.2	-0.78	14.2	12.5	1.68
Tony Massenburg	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	17.2	16.4	0.78	12.5	14.2	-1.68
Cherokee Parks	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	2	-13	16.5	17.3	-0.81	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Mike Bibby	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	17.5	15.7	1.72	12.3	15.1	-2.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	4	-17	16.3	18.4	-2.18	12.6	15.3	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 125, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	94.2%
CHH 88, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	93.8%
UTA 93, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%