NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.6 [693]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +5.8%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	1.3 [504]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): -12.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Rusty LaRue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	5	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.07
Jarron Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	16	45%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	18	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	52%	-0.01	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	594.6	3.5	26.5	-699.4	32.1	2.7	37.4	-2.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.2%

SAC -13.7%

UTA +14.2%

SAC -2.5%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.1	15.6	100.0	90.5	102.3
season	16.1	14.2		102.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	16.4	16.1	16.9	16.6
SAC	16.5	15.6	12.2	12.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	17.1	14.6	2.51	14.2	13.6	0.63
Andrei Kirilenko	82	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	1	5	16.6	16.6	-0.06	13.7	17.0	-3.30
Greg Ostertag	47	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-1	9	16.4	16.7	-0.27	14.6	13.5	1.13
Karl Malone	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	16.5	16.9	-0.44	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Donyell Marshall	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	-2	11	16.0	17.5	-1.55	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Bryon Russell	45	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	18.8	14.5	4.26	15.4	12.8	2.61
Scott Padgett	24	22	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	5	-3	14.0	17.5	-3.42	14.5	14.0	0.54
Quincy Lewis	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	5	-3	15.7	16.9	-1.24	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Rusty LaRue	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	9	-11	14.6	17.1	-2.51	13.6	14.2	-0.63
Jarron Collins	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	18.9	16.2	2.76	14.7	14.0	0.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	56	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-9	11	15.0	12.7	2.32	17.2	15.7	1.43
Lawrence Funderburke	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.0	13.5	3.46	17.6	16.4	1.25
Bobby Jackson	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-15	23	14.1	14.1	0.06	16.9	16.4	0.50
Hedo Turkoglu	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-4	1	15.1	13.6	1.47	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Scot Pollard	35	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	12.7	14.9	-2.12	17.0	16.3	0.65
Mike Bibby	53	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	8	-23	14.1	14.1	-0.06	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Chris Webber	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-6	5	13.4	16.6	-3.19	16.3	17.8	-1.52
Doug Christie	89	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-4	1	13.6	22.0	-8.45	16.8	13.3	3.47
Peja Stojakovic	81	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.09	-17	10	-27	14.3	12.8	1.52	16.3	18.3	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIA 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.04,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 81, CHH 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%