NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	3.3 [1080]		MVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): +12.2%
Charlotte Hornets	68		Comeback	1.2 [460]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -12.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	17	56%	0.12	7	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	59%	0.06	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Michael Cage	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	-0.01	-0.08	16	26%	-0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	52%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	-0.10	17	26%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.7	26.3	15.0	23.2	2.5	24.6	119.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.5%

NJN +7.8%

NJN +2.3%

NJN +0.8%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	17.1	17.8	15.6	97.6	82.9	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		104.9	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	12.0	20.6	21.8	17.1
CHH	17.8	21.7	14.7	16.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	66	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	16.9	17.8	-0.91	18.7	14.8	3.82
Michael Cage	44	41	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	17.5	16.6	0.96	16.8	18.9	-2.07
Jayson Williams	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-1	15	17.2	16.3	0.89	17.7	18.8	-1.16
Sherman Douglas	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	4	5	18.3	10.2	8.00	17.1	21.9	-4.80
Kerry Kittles	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	6	1	17.2	16.5	0.75	17.9	17.5	0.42
Lucious Harris	33	34	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	15.4	18.2	-2.83	17.7	17.9	-0.24
David Benoit	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	8	-3	13.0	18.6	-5.64	17.1	18.1	-0.93
Keith Van Horn	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	12	-11	18.2	16.2	1.96	19.5	16.3	3.14

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-9	5	20.1	17.2	2.94	15.2	17.6	-2.39
Corey Beck	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-10	7	16.0	18.8	-2.81	20.0	15.5	4.49
B.J. Armstrong	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	16.2	18.8	-2.61	20.9	14.8	6.02
Matt Geiger	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-17	21	17.7	17.9	-0.14	16.3	17.6	-1.37
J.R. Reid	8	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-3	-7	21.4	17.4	3.94	14.0	17.5	-3.47
Anthony Mason	74	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-10	7	17.4	21.4	-3.94	17.5	14.0	3.47
Vlade Divac	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	18.0	17.6	0.41	17.6	16.5	1.10
Travis Williams	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-8	3	18.3	17.1	1.14	16.9	17.4	-0.45
David Wesley	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	0	-13	18.5	17.0	1.51	14.6	20.4	-5.86
Glen Rice	74	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	5	-23	17.9	17.2	0.63	16.6	21.6	-5.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 118, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAC 116, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NOP 123, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%