NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	3.2 [1146]		MVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): +12.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.2 [903]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -7.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.01	16	69%	0.14	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.00	9	78%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	4	72%	0.06	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	16	58%	0.11	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Quincy Acy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tony Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.11	9	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	14	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	34.3	0.2	25.2	2.5	28.4	118.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.6%

MIL -2.5%

SAC +7.8%

SAC +3.8%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.1	126.1	109.7	105.2
season	15.4	15.7		104.5	101.4
opponent	15.1	14.7		109.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.9	18.0	13.6	15.7	16.1
MIL	15.7	17.1	13.1	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	15.6	17.5	-1.91	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Isaiah Thomas	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-7	28	15.1	18.5	-3.39	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Reggie Evans	53	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	2	10	15.3	17.2	-1.90	15.0	15.2	-0.22
DeMarcus Cousins	58	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	-3	20	16.4	15.6	0.79	15.6	14.1	1.45
Ray McCallum	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	10	-6	16.5	15.4	1.02	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Derrick Williams	23	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	5	4	16.7	15.9	0.81	16.2	14.6	1.51
Jason Thompson	48	48	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	12	-10	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Ben McLemore	50	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	18	-22	16.3	15.9	0.42	15.0	15.1	-0.16
Quincy Acy	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	17	-20	17.3	15.6	1.69	14.8	15.1	-0.35
Orlando Johnson	13	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	15	-16	20.2	15.4	4.83	15.9	14.9	0.97

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	37	35	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-12	10	14.1	15.7	-1.66	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Miroslav Raduljica	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-20	26	14.8	15.1	-0.24	17.1	16.0	1.14
Tony Mitchell	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	14.8	15.1	-0.24	19.7	15.8	3.83
O.J. Mayo	38	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-16	18	14.0	15.8	-1.83	16.8	15.6	1.12
Jeff Adrien	45	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-16	18	14.5	15.5	-1.01	16.1	16.1	0.01
John Henson	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-8	2	14.8	15.3	-0.54	16.3	15.9	0.44
Ramon Sessions	35	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-3	-8	15.3	14.9	0.33	15.4	16.5	-1.03
Nate Wolters	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-10	6	15.7	14.5	1.15	16.5	15.7	0.83
Zaza Pachulia	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	1	-16	15.7	14.7	0.92	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Brandon Knight	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-3	-8	15.3	14.5	0.87	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Ersan Ilyasova	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	1	-16	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.9	16.4	-0.45
Khris Middleton	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.08	-22	8	-30	15.5	14.3	1.27	15.7	16.6	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.4%
TOR 124, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 100, NOH 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.4%