NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	3.1 [1153]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +8.6%
New Orleans Hornets	87		Comeback	1.3 [531]		LVP	David West (NOH): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	10	87%	0.14	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	71%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	18	51%	0.02	0	0.00	15	80%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	15	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.09	9	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	0.03	15	38%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	33.2	15.8	28.1	2.3	27.6	136.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.7%

LAL +12.2%

LAL +9.6%

LAL +9.4%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.5	111.1	100.0	106.4
season	14.9	16.6		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	16.4	17.2	16.4	16.1
NOH	14.7	17.0	17.0	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	59	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-1	15	15.9	16.6	-0.68	17.0	15.4	1.60
Derek Fisher	74	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	7	-1	15.9	17.3	-1.43	16.0	18.2	-2.16
Trevor Ariza	54	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	1	11	15.7	16.7	-1.03	16.8	15.8	0.99
Pau Gasol	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	2	9	16.4	15.4	1.03	16.0	17.6	-1.64
Kobe Bryant	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-1	15	16.1	16.1	0.06	17.5	13.0	4.44
Luke Walton	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	6	1	16.8	15.6	1.29	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Andrew Bynum	53	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.4	16.5	-0.07
Sasha Vujacic	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	9	-5	15.9	16.2	-0.30	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Vladimir Radmanovic	13	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	17	-21	16.2	16.1	0.11	15.3	16.6	-1.26

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	32	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.17	5	-18	23	17.4	15.8	1.57	16.5	15.9	0.58
Hilton Armstrong	21	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-14	15	16.1	16.5	-0.36	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Julian Wright	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-11	9	18.3	16.3	1.99	24.5	15.9	8.56
Devin Brown	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-9	5	16.0	16.9	-0.88	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Rasual Butler	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	15.6	18.5	-2.88	16.6	15.1	1.49
David West	72	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	16.4	16.6	-0.22	16.1	16.1	0.08
Tyson Chandler	65	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	1	-15	16.6	16.0	0.55	16.5	15.2	1.29
James Posey	52	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	16.9	15.7	1.17	15.4	17.3	-1.84
Chris Paul	83	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	4	-21	16.5	14.7	1.74	16.0	21.0	-5.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, DET 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CHH 100, TOR 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
BOS 115, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%