inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 100 Excitement3.1 [1117] MVPJamal Mashburn (CHH): +6.5%
Toronto Raptors 64 Comeback1.6 [282] LVPBaron Davis (CHH): -11.7%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.021864%0.082-0.023100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.01684%0.0610.00786%0.01
P.J. Brown0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.02887%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Lee Nailon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.023100%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Terrance Roberson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tim James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.021136%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eddie Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03250%-0.0120.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021742%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Eldridge Recasner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.03542%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Baron Davis-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.00-0.021041%-0.045-0.08250%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06214%0.0000.00333%0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01343%-0.0210.001100%0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02933%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.01-0.07817%-0.0400.00250%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01625%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001140%-0.041-0.02367%-0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.14-0.00-0.07639%-0.034-0.04650%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.15-0.02-0.082240%-0.034-0.06683%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.17-0.00-0.08812%-0.064-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game236.82.326.617.325.52.725.3336.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +43.3%
CHH +1.3%
TOR -9.2%
CHH +12.5%
CHH +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHTORNBACHHTORNBA
this game14.715.515.5104.267.4100.9
season15.815.899.7103.7
opponent15.415.6101.697.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH13.313.617.015.114.7
TOR15.014.615.717.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn74720.57-0.070.64-0.493603614.415.4-0.9615.914.11.80
P.J. Brown67660.490.010.48-0.423152614.515.0-0.4316.413.42.95
David Wesley76740.400.100.29-0.483062414.913.90.9115.615.10.45
Baron Davis69670.390.110.28-0.432882014.614.8-0.1516.014.41.61
Jamaal Magloire46470.370.130.24-0.3023131014.514.8-0.2414.316.7-2.45
Eldridge Recasner35370.210.29-0.07-0.081026-1614.414.8-0.3714.716.0-1.34
Elden Campbell50480.130.37-0.24-0.251323-1014.814.50.2416.714.32.45
Lee Nailon24240.010.49-0.480.01036-3615.914.31.6112.916.4-3.45
Terrance Roberson12120.000.50-0.50-0.12432-2814.414.7-0.2914.715.6-0.85
Tim James550.000.50-0.50-0.15531-2610.614.9-4.2916.015.50.53
Eddie Robinson2223-0.070.57-0.64-0.07036-3615.414.40.9614.115.9-1.80

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Stewart1718-0.00-0.500.500.23-8-282016.315.30.9714.214.8-0.55
Morris Peterson2728-0.12-0.380.250.26-13-231015.615.50.1414.114.9-0.79
Corliss Williamson4747-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-312615.615.40.2415.314.11.24
Tyrone Corbin1618-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-282015.215.6-0.3713.714.9-1.16
Kornel David1718-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-271815.115.6-0.4614.314.8-0.48
Alvin Williams3939-0.18-0.320.140.44-21-15-615.615.40.2514.614.7-0.17
Kevin Willis3232-0.22-0.280.060.31-18-18016.215.21.0014.614.7-0.16
Dell Curry2828-0.25-0.250.010.46-24-12-1216.015.30.7213.915.0-1.09
Antonio Davis6665-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-15-21614.916.9-2.0714.814.50.27
Charles Oakley5858-0.30-0.20-0.090.29-20-16-415.715.10.5914.914.30.58
Mark Jackson5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-15-21615.415.6-0.2514.714.60.17
Vince Carter7272-0.39-0.11-0.280.31-24-12-1215.216.3-1.0115.013.71.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 100, NOH 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,096.5%
NOP 115, DEN 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
TOR 99, POR 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%