NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	2.9 [1220]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +6.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	85		Comeback	1.7 [465]		LVP	Caleb Swanigan (POR): -6.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.05	20	53%	0.10	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	85%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.11	23	64%	0.02	6	-0.05	10	90%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	16	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.4	14.5	23.2	2.0	27.3	122.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.5%

TOR +4.4%

TOR +7.4%

TOR +4.8%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.7	104.2	89.5	107.5
season	14.6	15.2		112.7	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.8		105.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	13.3	15.0	17.1	14.7
POR	14.6	18.9	15.7	13.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	2	10	14.1	16.5	-2.39	15.6	15.5	0.16
DeMar DeRozan	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	5	4	14.0	17.6	-3.58	15.2	17.2	-2.01
OG Anunoby	40	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	9	-4	16.3	13.6	2.69	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Lucas Nogueira	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	1	12	14.0	16.1	-2.15	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Norman Powell	47	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	3	8	12.7	16.7	-4.03	16.3	15.0	1.28
Jakob Poeltl	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	13	-12	16.1	14.0	2.15	15.8	15.5	0.35
CJ Miles	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	12	-10	16.7	13.7	3.04	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Pascal Siakam	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	5	4	13.6	16.3	-2.69	15.7	15.4	0.28
Fred VanVleet	16	16	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	17.3	14.2	3.12	18.6	15.0	3.64
Delon Wright	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	16	-18	17.3	12.8	4.49	14.6	16.4	-1.84
Alfonzo McKinnie	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	6.0	14.8	-8.81	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Bruno Caboclo	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	6.0	14.8	-8.81	14.0	15.6	-1.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Napier	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-7	0	21.7	15.2	6.48	12.8	14.8	-2.02
Ed Davis	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.24	3	-17	20	14.0	16.8	-2.81	16.8	13.1	3.72
Evan Turner	58	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-15	16	14.4	17.5	-3.13	14.9	14.4	0.54
Pat Connaughton	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-10	6	15.5	15.7	-0.19	16.4	13.7	2.68
Caleb Swanigan	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	-1	-12	18.5	15.1	3.40	16.3	14.5	1.84
Al-Farouq Aminu	72	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-8	2	15.4	16.3	-0.99	13.8	17.5	-3.73
CJ McCollum	64	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.2	16.4	-1.12	14.3	15.7	-1.45
Maurice Harkless	47	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-4	-6	16.7	14.6	2.10	15.4	14.0	1.43
Jusuf Nurkic	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.15	-17	3	-20	16.8	14.0	2.81	13.1	16.8	-3.72
Damian Lillard	83	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-7	0	15.5	16.3	-0.84	14.5	16.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, BKN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
TOR 120, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAC 128, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0	96.8%