NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	2.7 [1219]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +11.1%
Brooklyn Nets	75		Comeback	1.6 [653]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): -10.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.04	10	90%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	31%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	62%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	7	13%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pero Antic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	27%	-0.06	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	42%	-0.04	3	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	60%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	18	53%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	30.0	15.8	25.2	2.3	28.6	124.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.1%

ATL +1.4%

BKN -6.5%

ATL +14.5%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.1	105.4	78.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.3		106.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	13.2	17.3	16.7	15.6
BKN	15.4	16.8	14.0	14.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	11	1	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.5	14.6	0.94
Jeff Teague	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	11	1	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.5	14.6	0.94
Paul Millsap	55	55	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	7	9	15.0	16.4	-1.39	15.1	15.1	-0.05
DeMarre Carroll	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	11	1	14.9	16.4	-1.49	15.5	14.6	0.86
Pero Antic	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.14	14	9	5	14.7	16.1	-1.42	13.6	15.9	-2.38
Al Horford	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.16	13	10	3	15.1	16.0	-0.85	16.7	13.5	3.19
Thabo Sefolosha	38	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	16	-9	16.7	14.8	1.84	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Mike Scott	25	27	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.21	14	9	5	14.8	15.9	-1.05	16.4	14.6	1.81
Dennis Schroder	33	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.41	20	3	17	15.5	15.6	-0.13	15.6	14.8	0.79
Shelvin Mack	40	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	14	-5	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Kent Bazemore	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	18.0	15.0	3.01	12.8	15.6	-2.86
Elton Brand	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	30	-37	19.5	14.9	4.52	12.5	15.5	-3.03
Mike Muscala	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	19.5	14.9	4.52	13.4	15.4	-1.93

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Jordan	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	12.7	15.6	-2.88	18.9	14.8	4.05
Cory Jefferson	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-23	23	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.8	15.1	1.74
Jorge Gutierrez	32	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-20	17	13.2	16.0	-2.80	16.3	15.2	1.08
Kevin Garnett	32	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-22	21	15.9	14.7	1.26	15.7	15.5	0.14
Markel Brown	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-22	21	14.3	15.4	-1.05	17.6	14.8	2.72
Mason Plumlee	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-9	-5	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Alan Anderson	42	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-14	5	15.1	15.1	-0.00	16.0	15.3	0.70
Deron Williams	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-14	5	15.2	15.0	0.15	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Bojan Bogdanovic	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-11	-1	15.8	14.5	1.27	14.4	16.6	-2.18
Brook Lopez	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-13	3	15.6	14.5	1.11	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Jarrett Jack	37	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-5	-13	15.8	14.6	1.21	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Joe Johnson	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-7	-9	15.7	14.2	1.56	15.1	16.3	-1.25
Mirza Teletovic	39	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	2	-27	15.1	15.1	-0.04	14.4	16.4	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SAC 128, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0	97.2%
TOR 120, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%