NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	128		Excitement	3.0 [1203]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): +8.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.8 [331]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -6.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	77%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	12	85%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	18	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	13	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	82%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	51%	0.00	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	9	71%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	21	67%	0.08	7	-0.07	10	70%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	17	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	3	30%	-0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	0.06	8	57%	-0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.7	35.2	17.4	27.2	2.8	33.0	145.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.1%

SAC +8.8%

SAC +15.5%

CLE -2.1%

CLE -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.5	139.1	117.2	104.0
season	14.7	16.2		108.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	12.8	16.5	17.9	15.1
CLE	16.7	18.5	14.8	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-2	23	14.9	15.3	-0.45	16.2	15.9	0.30
Maurice Evans	34	36	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	3	13	14.4	15.5	-1.12	16.6	15.7	0.84
Corliss Williamson	34	36	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	4	11	14.7	15.3	-0.60	16.8	15.6	1.20
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	4	11	15.5	10.9	4.65	16.2	14.5	1.73
Eddie House	23	24	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	5	9	13.7	15.5	-1.80	18.2	15.3	2.92
Mike Bibby	69	69	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	14	-9	15.5	13.7	1.80	15.3	18.2	-2.92
Peja Stojakovic	66	65	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	14	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.6	17.1	-1.52
Kenny Thomas	60	59	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	17	-15	16.0	13.3	2.77	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Greg Ostertag	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	17	-15	15.5	15.0	0.42	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Erik Daniels	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	3.0	15.2	-12.22	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Kevin Martin	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	3.0	15.2	-12.22	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Brian Skinner	29	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	23	-27	14.2	15.5	-1.34	16.6	15.8	0.84

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.15	-4	-15	11	17.5	15.3	2.16	13.5	15.8	-2.31
Jiri Welsch	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-29	39	13.0	17.9	-4.93	18.3	13.2	5.13
Lucious Harris	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-15	11	16.9	16.0	0.91	13.4	15.2	-1.88
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-11	3	17.2	15.3	1.88	13.1	16.4	-3.26
Eric Snow	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.29	-16	-3	-13	18.5	14.1	4.33	13.8	16.0	-2.19
Anderson Varejao	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-17	15	14.7	17.6	-2.86	16.4	13.6	2.79
Drew Gooden	76	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-11	3	15.6	18.1	-2.47	15.7	12.4	3.35
Jeff McInnis	17	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-6	-7	16.5	15.9	0.60	11.7	15.9	-4.18
Robert Traylor	24	23	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	1	-21	18.5	15.2	3.31	13.3	15.7	-2.32
LeBron James	85	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-4	-11	16.0	16.9	-0.91	15.2	13.4	1.88
Sasha Pavlovic	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	-4	-11	15.3	17.5	-2.16	15.8	13.5	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, BKN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
TOR 99, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 102, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%