NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	2.7 [1218]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +9.0%
Detroit Pistons	64		Comeback	1.4 [585]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -15.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	86%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Sonny Weems	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	42%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	14	40%	0.05	4	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	8	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	9	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	0.03	13	29%	-0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.5	29.9	17.7	25.4	0.1	28.6	135.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.1%

TOR +1.8%

DET -12.5%

TOR +0.7%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	20.7	15.3	111.9	77.1	106.0
season	15.0	16.8		109.6	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.7	13.7	14.2	15.0	13.9
DET	18.6	22.3	21.8	20.2	20.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	7	16	14.1	13.6	0.51	21.0	20.2	0.80
Andrea Bargnani	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	10	10	14.1	13.5	0.55	20.3	21.4	-1.02
Hedo Turkoglu	57	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	17	-4	14.8	11.9	2.94	19.9	22.0	-2.13
Chris Bosh	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	11	8	14.3	13.0	1.33	20.6	20.7	-0.00
Sonny Weems	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.37	23	7	16	12.0	15.6	-3.64	20.4	20.9	-0.56
Marco Belinelli	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.31	18	12	6	14.4	13.5	0.89	21.7	19.7	2.00
Amir Johnson	41	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	17	-4	13.6	14.2	-0.63	21.5	20.0	1.52
DeMar DeRozan	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	24	-18	14.0	13.8	0.20	21.0	20.4	0.53
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.22	8	22	-14	12.0	14.2	-2.16	19.3	20.8	-1.54
Marcus Banks	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.22	7	23	-16	13.6	14.1	-0.51	20.2	21.0	-0.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-28	26	20.7	20.6	0.11	16.2	13.1	3.11
Kwame Brown	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-22	14	19.3	20.8	-1.54	14.3	13.8	0.45
Austin Daye	19	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-21	12	23.9	19.7	4.21	12.4	14.3	-1.94
Charlie Villanueva	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-23	16	20.2	20.8	-0.62	10.9	15.0	-4.09
Ben Wallace	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-21	12	20.9	20.4	0.58	15.6	12.3	3.23
Chris Wilcox	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-9	-12	20.4	20.9	-0.58	12.3	15.6	-3.23
DaJuan Summers	31	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-12	-6	21.1	20.4	0.76	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Jonas Jerebko	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.28	-20	-10	-10	20.6	20.7	-0.11	14.3	12.5	1.81
Jason Maxiell	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-15	0	21.1	19.9	1.20	15.4	11.7	3.71
Rodney Stuckey	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-15	0	19.7	22.6	-2.82	14.5	12.6	1.86
Will Bynum	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.34	-26	-4	-22	20.2	21.7	-1.51	12.5	17.2	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, NOH 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CHH 116, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DET 97, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%