NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Excitement	3.7 [1084]		MVP	Josh Okogie (MIN): +11.9%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.1 [1063]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -5.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Okogie	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	11	84%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.06	16	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	15	71%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Terrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.04	18	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	28.6	14.6	29.5	2.4	24.6	124.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.7%

MIN +5.2%

MIN +22.2%

MIN +7.4%

MIN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	13.4	14.3	114.6	87.5	109.3
season	14.4	14.4		110.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.0	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	13.3	14.3	15.1	14.5
PHX	12.4	12.0	13.9	15.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.22	26	1	25	14.2	15.2	-1.02	13.8	12.2	1.62
Taj Gibson	53	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.19	25	2	23	14.0	15.0	-1.02	13.6	13.1	0.42
Derrick Rose	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	10	7	13.6	15.3	-1.68	13.6	13.2	0.40
Karl-Anthony Towns	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	7	13	14.7	13.9	0.80	13.6	12.9	0.66
Jerryd Bayless	62	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	17	-7	14.6	14.3	0.26	13.1	13.7	-0.64
Josh Okogie	55	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.22	15	12	3	14.7	14.2	0.42	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Gorgui Dieng	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	24	-21	11.7	14.8	-3.09	12.5	13.5	-1.02
Luol Deng	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	22	-17	15.4	14.1	1.31	15.0	12.7	2.28
Anthony Tolliver	41	42	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	24	-21	15.8	13.6	2.21	13.2	13.5	-0.24
Keita Bates-Diop	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	13.6	14.6	-0.94	14.9	13.2	1.71
Jared Terrell	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	13.6	14.6	-0.94	14.9	13.2	1.71
C.J. Williams	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	13.6	14.6	-0.94	14.9	13.2	1.71
Dario Saric	37	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	28	-29	15.4	14.0	1.45	11.3	14.6	-3.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-24	21	16.9	13.1	3.75	12.0	14.7	-2.68
Troy Daniels	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	-20	13	14.3	12.9	1.35	15.6	13.9	1.70
Quincy Acy	42	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-20	13	12.3	14.1	-1.83	13.8	14.9	-1.01
Mikal Bridges	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-15	3	13.4	13.3	0.05	13.9	15.4	-1.46
Jamal Crawford	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-18	9	12.4	14.2	-1.81	15.7	13.5	2.24
De'Anthony Melton	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-12	-3	14.5	12.4	2.11	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Kelly Oubre Jr.	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-14	1	12.7	14.2	-1.43	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Josh Jackson	70	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-12	-3	13.0	14.1	-1.04	15.0	13.6	1.33
T.J. Warren	35	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-13	-1	12.9	13.6	-0.62	14.7	14.4	0.32
Dragan Bender	62	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	-7	-13	14.1	12.3	1.83	14.9	13.8	1.01
Devin Booker	54	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-7	-13	13.6	13.1	0.42	13.3	15.8	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, CHH 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.3%
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NYK 118, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%