NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	2.9 [1162]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +13.3%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	1.1 [541]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -15.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	10	100%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.08	15	77%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.04	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	11	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	19	59%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	51%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.09	7	86%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	15	37%	-0.08	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.0	28.4	15.6	31.2	2.5	24.3	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.1%

NYK +5.4%

NYK +7.2%

NYK +6.8%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.2	122.9	105.3	101.7
season	16.1	14.9		100.0	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		99.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	14.6	13.5	18.5	15.5
CHH	18.1	16.0	13.6	12.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	75	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.21	26	-7	33	15.2	16.6	-1.38	15.7	12.0	3.62
Patrick Ewing	54	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	2	15	14.3	17.0	-2.73	15.9	13.3	2.60
Larry Johnson	59	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	2	15	15.2	15.9	-0.65	15.1	14.3	0.82
Latrell Sprewell	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	-3	25	15.3	16.0	-0.62	15.3	13.2	2.14
Charlie Ward	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	2	15	15.3	15.7	-0.43	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Marcus Camby	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	11	-3	15.7	15.3	0.46	15.1	14.6	0.50
Chris Childs	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	17	-15	16.5	14.4	2.13	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Kurt Thomas	41	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	13	-7	16.5	14.7	1.78	14.7	14.9	-0.22
John Wallace	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	16.5	15.4	1.08	10.5	15.1	-4.61
Chris Dudley	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	15.9	15.4	0.44	9.6	15.4	-5.82
Andrew Lang	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	16.5	15.4	1.08	10.5	15.1	-4.61
Rick Brunson	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	15.9	15.4	0.44	9.6	15.4	-5.82

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	9.8	15.5	-5.66	17.6	15.2	2.39
Eddie Robinson	35	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-19	19	13.7	15.5	-1.81	16.4	14.9	1.49
Ricky Davis	14	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-19	19	11.6	15.4	-3.82	15.6	15.5	0.19
Baron Davis	49	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	13.8	16.0	-2.22	16.7	14.2	2.51
Chucky Brown	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-16	13	13.3	15.6	-2.23	17.3	14.6	2.73
Anthony Mason	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-3	-13	15.6	13.3	2.23	14.6	17.3	-2.73
Derrick Coleman	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-3	-13	15.6	13.3	2.23	14.6	17.3	-2.73
David Wesley	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-3	-13	15.5	12.1	3.40	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Eddie Jones	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.25	-24	5	-29	15.9	13.4	2.45	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Elden Campbell	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	5	-29	15.3	12.7	2.59	15.3	16.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 112, NOK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHX 119, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIA 111, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%