NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	2.8 [1220]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +17.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	77		Comeback	1.3 [1188]		LVP	Hilton Armstrong (NOK): -6.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	8	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	76%	0.11	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	89%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.04	8	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.10	7	25%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	18	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	17	32%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	7	43%	-0.03	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.0	26.5	15.0	22.9	1.7	23.0	116.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.4%

SAS +2.3%

NOK -7.8%

SAS +7.6%

NOK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOK	NBA	SAS	NOK	NBA
this game	14.6	18.1	15.4	127.3	87.5	104.5
season	16.2	16.0		107.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.2	11.9	17.3	15.9	14.6
NOK	16.4	16.4	18.7	22.0	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	52	51	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.22	26	9	17	15.1	13.9	1.22	18.0	18.3	-0.30
Tim Duncan	50	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.20	25	10	15	14.4	14.8	-0.42	18.0	18.4	-0.40
Bruce Bowen	48	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.20	25	10	15	14.9	14.2	0.65	17.9	18.4	-0.46
Michael Finley	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	21	-7	12.8	15.8	-2.95	18.5	17.9	0.56
Manu Ginobili	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	18	-1	13.8	15.6	-1.85	17.2	19.3	-2.10
Matt Bonner	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.37	18	17	1	13.8	15.1	-1.25	19.6	17.1	2.48
Francisco Elson	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	24	-13	16.0	13.1	2.89	17.3	19.0	-1.70
Brent Barry	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	32	-29	15.1	14.3	0.77	16.1	19.1	-2.99
Fabricio Oberto	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.35	15	20	-5	14.4	14.7	-0.33	18.2	18.1	0.13
Eric Williams	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	28	-21	16.3	14.4	1.94	20.4	17.9	2.54
Beno Udrih	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	29	-23	16.7	14.2	2.51	22.7	17.4	5.33
Jacque Vaughn	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.28	8	27	-19	14.1	14.9	-0.77	18.7	17.8	0.89

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	35	35	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.28	-8	-27	19	18.7	17.8	0.89	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Brandon Bass	29	29	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.30	-9	-26	17	19.7	17.4	2.30	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Devin Brown	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.25	-8	-27	19	18.7	17.7	0.94	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Marc Jackson	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-20	5	18.7	17.8	0.92	15.5	14.1	1.35
Jannero Pargo	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.36	-19	-16	-3	18.2	18.0	0.23	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Hilton Armstrong	35	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.33	-21	-14	-7	19.8	17.1	2.74	15.8	13.7	2.12
Rasual Butler	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-18	1	16.9	20.6	-3.77	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Tyson Chandler	43	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	-12	-11	18.1	18.2	-0.15	15.5	13.7	1.75
Desmond Mason	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.23	-26	-9	-17	17.4	19.7	-2.30	14.7	14.2	0.50
Chris Paul	56	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.26	-29	-6	-23	17.4	19.5	-2.08	14.6	14.6	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
IND 112, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CLE 118, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%