NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	5.4 [755]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +21.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.2 [227]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -13.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.07	0.11	32	64%	0.24	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.05
TJ Warren	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	19	66%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.06	-0.02	16	69%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	18	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	18	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	11	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	13	36%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	25.2	13.7	30.6	1.8	29.0	127.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.3%

PHX +5.8%

PHX +10.4%

PHI -1.9%

PHX +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.7	118.6	104.1	107.5
season	14.2	13.9		102.6	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.3		103.8	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	13.2	13.9	18.8	14.9
PHI	13.3	15.6	14.3	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	3	8	14.9	15.1	-0.24	14.3	16.4	-2.10
Tyler Ulis	75	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	15.4	13.4	2.00	15.0	14.0	0.99
TJ Warren	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-1	16	14.7	15.4	-0.63	14.8	14.7	0.06
Devin Booker	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	4	6	15.0	14.6	0.34	14.6	15.4	-0.73
Marquese Chriss	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	2	10	15.0	14.8	0.17	15.1	14.5	0.65
Troy Daniels	12	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	7	0	12.7	15.2	-2.56	13.5	15.0	-1.44
Mike James	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	7	0	12.7	15.2	-2.56	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Dragan Bender	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	12	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.17	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Alex Len	21	22	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	11	-8	15.1	14.9	0.24	16.4	14.3	2.10
Josh Jackson	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	21	-28	15.5	14.4	1.13	15.3	14.3	1.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-17	20	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.5	14.3	1.15
Jerryd Bayless	43	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-14	14	15.7	14.0	1.68	15.0	14.9	0.12
Amir Johnson	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-11	8	13.2	15.5	-2.30	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Nik Stauskas	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-7	0	12.2	15.3	-3.09	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Robert Covington	69	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.30	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Joel Embiid	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.1	14.5	0.57
Dario Saric	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-1	-12	14.9	14.5	0.49	15.0	14.8	0.14
Ben Simmons	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	14.5	15.7	-1.22	14.6	16.0	-1.39
JJ Redick	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	5	-24	15.2	13.8	1.42	15.1	14.6	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	95.1%
MIA 115, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NYK 86, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.4%