NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	4.5 [907]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +10.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	75		Comeback	1.1 [491]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	13	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	14	39%	-0.07	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	-0.00	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	32.0	17.7	27.5	2.4	32.5	139.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +39.7%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +4.3%

NYK +5.1%

PHI -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	17.6	15.7	100.0	88.2	100.5
season	15.5	16.2		98.6	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.8		99.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	15.3	17.7	17.8	16.1
PHI	19.6	16.7	15.8	18.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	56	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-6	23	16.2	16.0	0.18	18.8	15.0	3.84
Stephon Marbury	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	16.5	11.0	5.50	17.8	13.0	4.80
Kurt Thomas	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-4	19	16.2	15.7	0.54	18.3	15.2	3.11
Anfernee Hardaway	60	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	2	7	16.5	15.2	1.32	15.4	22.3	-6.92
Tim Thomas	75	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	16.2	15.3	0.97	17.8	16.2	1.56
Shandon Anderson	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	6	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.58	20.6	15.2	5.44
Michael Sweetney	18	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	14	-17	14.9	16.4	-1.48	14.3	18.4	-4.10
Moochie Norris	6	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	11.0	16.5	-5.50	13.0	17.8	-4.80
Vin Baker	32	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	18	-25	16.4	15.9	0.46	15.5	18.7	-3.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.1	18.0	-1.89	14.7	16.5	-1.76
Kyle Korver	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.9	18.1	-2.19	13.6	16.9	-3.21
John Salmons	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-15	19	18.5	16.8	1.70	17.5	14.9	2.62
Greg Buckner	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-5	-1	17.2	17.8	-0.56	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Willie Green	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	15.3	19.9	-4.65	16.4	15.8	0.55
Kenny Thomas	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	18.0	15.9	2.14	16.5	14.7	1.76
Aaron McKie	50	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	20.2	13.9	6.32	16.2	16.0	0.25
Samuel Dalembert	84	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	17.5	20.0	-2.45	16.1	15.0	1.13
Eric Snow	73	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	17.3	19.5	-2.24	16.3	15.0	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
CLE 93, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 104, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0	95.4%