NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	5.5 [755]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +23.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.7 [928]		LVP	Mark Blount (MIN): -12.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.06	0.02	17	75%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	16	75%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	72%	0.21	7	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.05	16	74%	0.20	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	12	48%	-0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	33.5	16.7	27.2	1.7	28.6	136.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.9%

MIN -4.9%

MIN -3.9%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	15.4	117.2	105.1	104.5
season	13.8	15.4		112.2	101.9
opponent	15.6	16.0		105.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	13.5	14.1	17.1	14.5
MIN	15.0	14.2	14.7	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	85	87	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-8	28	14.3	16.1	-1.78	15.0	11.6	3.37
Raja Bell	88	88	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	1	10	14.2	17.2	-2.97	13.9	19.8	-5.93
Leandro Barbosa	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	5	2	14.8	13.9	0.93	15.1	13.4	1.69
James Jones	45	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	3	6	16.2	13.2	3.03	15.7	13.7	2.00
Steve Nash	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	8	-4	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.3	15.5	-1.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	85	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	15	-18	14.3	15.9	-1.53	14.1	17.2	-3.11
Pat Burke	17	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	5	2	15.0	14.5	0.55	15.9	14.3	1.69
Kurt Thomas	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	7	-2	13.1	15.1	-1.96	13.6	14.9	-1.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-9	6	15.0	14.5	0.51	15.3	14.4	0.90
Randy Foye	65	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-13	14	14.6	14.4	0.16	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Craig Smith	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-7	2	15.5	13.9	1.61	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Trenton Hassell	67	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	14.8	14.1	0.67	13.7	16.2	-2.57
Rashad McCants	15	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.2	2.11	16.9	14.1	2.85
Ricky Davis	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-8	4	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Mark Blount	53	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	14.1	15.1	-1.05	15.0	14.0	0.98
Kevin Garnett	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	14.3	15.9	-1.69	14.2	15.9	-1.64
Mike James	34	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	14.4	14.6	-0.16	14.6	14.5	0.14
Marko Jaric	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	14.2	15.1	-0.92	15.1	13.6	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 131, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 95, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
LAL 107, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%