NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	4.2 [971]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +13.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	1.6 [821]		LVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): -7.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	74%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	19	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.04
Mitch Richmond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.00	-0.02	10	79%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	54%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	15	34%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.04
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	8	62%	-0.04	1	-0.03	18	94%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	56.2	1.8	28.3	16.7	21.2	1.6	31.2	157.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.1%

SEA -8.0%

LAL +13.9%

LAL +8.6%

LAL +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.6	117.6	101.1	102.3
season	15.3	16.0		106.9	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		103.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.3	15.5	15.8	16.8	16.3
SEA	15.5	15.1	16.2	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-7	29	15.8	17.7	-1.85	16.3	12.9	3.41
Slava Medvedenko	47	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	4	7	16.0	16.7	-0.64	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Derek Fisher	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	4	7	16.2	16.5	-0.36	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Robert Horry	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	1	13	16.5	16.2	0.30	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Devean George	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	4	7	16.8	15.8	0.97	14.6	16.0	-1.32
Lindsey Hunter	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	8	-1	16.0	16.5	-0.54	16.6	14.5	2.04
Rick Fox	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	11	-7	15.8	16.8	-0.97	16.0	14.6	1.32
Samaki Walker	48	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	14	-13	16.0	16.7	-0.61	16.1	14.5	1.63
Mark Madsen	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	12	-9	16.8	16.2	0.60	14.5	15.5	-1.05
Shaquille O'Neal	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	14	-13	17.0	16.2	0.84	16.3	15.1	1.26
Mitch Richmond	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	22	-29	17.7	15.8	1.85	12.9	16.3	-3.41
Brian Shaw	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	18	-21	18.3	16.1	2.21	11.8	15.8	-3.95

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-16	17	12.3	15.6	-3.29	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Earl Watson	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-22	29	11.5	16.3	-4.76	16.5	16.3	0.18
Shammond Williams	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-12	9	13.7	15.7	-1.90	16.5	16.3	0.21
Vladimir Radmanovic	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.10	-1	-14	13	12.9	16.3	-3.41	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Calvin Booth	23	23	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-10	5	17.7	14.5	3.24	16.7	16.2	0.49
Vin Baker	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-6	-3	15.9	14.4	1.54	16.5	16.0	0.53
Art Long	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	14.3	15.9	-1.55	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Desmond Mason	67	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-8	1	14.5	17.7	-3.25	15.8	18.0	-2.26
Gary Payton	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.12	-16	1	-17	15.7	13.4	2.36	16.4	15.9	0.55
Rashard Lewis	76	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	16.0	11.9	4.13	16.8	14.5	2.29
Brent Barry	59	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.07	-22	7	-29	16.9	12.3	4.64	16.3	16.4	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 94, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
ATL 102, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%