NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	4.6 [917]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): +5.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.1 [664]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -12.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Josh Childress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Salim Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Esteban Batista	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	16	39%	-0.00	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	16	57%	0.11	5	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Burleson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.08	7	57%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	17	45%	-0.05	2	-0.07	8	87%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.4	27.4	15.6	28.3	1.7	32.0	131.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.9%

ATL +16.1%

ATL +5.6%

ATL +5.9%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.6	106.2	95.8	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		103.9	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	16.0	17.0	16.4	15.7
CHA	17.2	13.4	13.8	12.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-4	18	15.5	16.2	-0.64	14.8	13.1	1.69
Joe Johnson	84	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-1	12	15.8	15.3	0.45	14.5	12.3	2.26
Josh Smith	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	14.9	16.9	-1.97	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Josh Childress	67	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	15.9	15.4	0.50	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Royal Ivey	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	14.6	16.1	-1.53	15.7	13.8	1.93
Salim Stoudamire	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	8	-6	17.0	14.4	2.60	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Al Harrington	66	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	10	-10	15.8	15.5	0.28	15.1	12.4	2.77
Tyronn Lue	55	54	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	15.9	15.5	0.46	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Esteban Batista	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	15.1	15.8	-0.69	12.4	14.6	-2.24

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Burleson	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	9.0	14.5	-5.50	13.2	15.8	-2.59
Melvin Ely	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-13	16	13.9	14.6	-0.71	16.9	14.6	2.33
Bernard Robinson	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-2	-6	18.5	13.7	4.83	11.7	16.2	-4.52
Jake Voskuhl	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	13.7	14.6	-0.87	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Matt Carroll	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	13.3	15.1	-1.80	16.3	15.2	1.13
Alan Anderson	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-9	8	13.2	14.9	-1.72	14.5	16.5	-2.02
Primoz Brezec	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	2	-14	15.3	13.2	2.10	16.1	15.4	0.74
Jumaine Jones	72	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.21	-3	-7	4	14.5	13.6	0.92	15.7	15.8	-0.16
Kareem Rush	25	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	4	-18	13.6	14.5	-0.91	16.5	15.5	1.02
Brevin Knight	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.8	12.1	2.70	15.8	15.6	0.16
Raymond Felton	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	14.3	14.2	0.05	15.6	16.7	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 84, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	95.0%
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%