NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	4.1 [956]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +15.0%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	1.4 [499]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -14.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	12	82%	0.20	4	-0.05	10	90%	0.03
Tyrone Corbin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Darrin Hancock	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	6	89%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	2	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	19	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	14	36%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	22	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.0	16.8	27.3	1.7	33.1	129.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.2%

ATL +6.3%

ATL +14.2%

DET -14.1%

ATL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	101.1	90.1	104.4
season	16.4	17.1		105.3	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.0		102.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	16.3	13.4	15.0	14.6
DET	16.5	20.6	17.3	13.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	83	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-7	26	14.5	15.4	-0.87	17.5	11.1	6.38
Tyrone Corbin	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	-5	22	15.3	12.8	2.47	17.0	15.9	1.12
Dikembe Mutombo	78	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.03	16	-4	20	14.3	16.5	-2.20	16.9	15.7	1.23
Steven Smith	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-1	14	14.8	13.9	0.90	17.3	13.1	4.23
Alan Henderson	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	-4	20	15.1	14.4	0.76	18.2	15.9	2.21
Christian Laettner	63	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	8	-4	15.1	13.5	1.61	17.6	14.8	2.75
Darrin Hancock	9	10	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	10.7	15.0	-4.38	14.0	17.0	-3.04
Ivano Newbill	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	11.7	14.8	-3.00	8.3	17.0	-8.66
Priest Lauderdale	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	13.1	14.7	-1.60	8.4	17.4	-8.96
Henry James	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	13.1	14.7	-1.60	8.4	17.4	-8.96
Jon Barry	15	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	20	-28	13.7	14.8	-1.06	12.4	17.5	-5.05
Eldridge Recasner	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	19	-26	15.2	14.4	0.79	15.9	16.9	-1.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	9.6	17.5	-7.93	11.5	15.0	-3.50
Michael Curry	14	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	10.4	17.8	-7.42	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Jerome Williams	12	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	9.9	17.7	-7.82	12.9	14.9	-2.08
Grant Long	23	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-12	12	17.7	16.4	1.39	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Theo Ratliff	19	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-13	14	12.9	17.7	-4.75	13.1	15.1	-2.01
Aaron McKie	46	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-9	6	16.8	16.6	0.29	13.9	15.5	-1.65
Grant Hill	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-1	-10	16.9	16.2	0.75	15.1	13.4	1.66
Joe Dumars	68	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	0	-12	17.8	13.5	4.32	15.7	12.1	3.60
Terry Mills	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	18.1	12.7	5.48	15.0	13.5	1.51
Otis Thorpe	58	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	8	-28	17.1	16.1	1.01	15.4	13.5	1.84
Lindsey Hunter	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	8	-28	17.6	12.9	4.75	14.5	15.1	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 93, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0	95.2%
CHI 104, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%