NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	5.0 [800]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +5.8%
Phoenix Suns	82		Comeback	1.2 [538]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -23.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	18	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	10	39%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	15	41%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	27%	-0.04	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	16	39%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	15	42%	-0.16	4	-0.07	6	17%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.7	31.3	15.5	25.4	2.4	31.2	136.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.4%

PHX -0.7%

PHX -10.6%

DET +13.9%

DET +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	14.8	15.5	96.6	91.1	101.6
season	16.8	15.0		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	17.5	17.0	19.5	17.8
PHX	17.2	14.6	15.7	11.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	58	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-1	4	18.1	17.3	0.74	13.6	17.1	-3.42
Chucky Atkins	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-3	8	18.4	16.6	1.78	13.9	16.4	-2.53
Michael Curry	36	38	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	16.5	18.7	-2.27	17.2	13.0	4.19
Ben Wallace	71	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	5	-8	17.6	18.8	-1.24	14.9	14.5	0.39
Richard Hamilton	62	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	6	-10	17.9	17.7	0.17	15.3	13.5	1.81
Jon Barry	25	27	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-4	10	17.7	17.9	-0.17	13.0	15.6	-2.56
Mehmet Okur	16	16	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-3	8	18.8	17.6	1.24	15.4	14.7	0.71
Corliss Williamson	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	5	-8	18.7	16.5	2.27	13.0	17.2	-4.19
Chauncey Billups	29	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	5	-8	16.6	18.4	-1.78	16.4	13.9	2.53
Zeljko Rebraca	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	3	-4	17.3	18.1	-0.74	17.1	13.6	3.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.46	15	-17	32	9.6	16.1	-6.54	21.0	17.0	4.03
Jake Tsakalidis	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	0	-2	17.4	14.0	3.38	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Randy Brown	6	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.17	-9	7	-16	20.0	14.4	5.58	12.4	18.3	-5.85
Joe Johnson	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	3	-8	17.2	14.1	3.10	18.6	17.6	1.06
Anfernee Hardaway	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-7	12	14.0	15.1	-1.07	18.8	17.3	1.46
Tom Gugliotta	56	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	4	-10	16.6	11.8	4.81	17.3	18.6	-1.33
Scott Williams	24	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	7	-16	16.6	14.1	2.45	15.6	18.6	-3.04
Casey Jacobsen	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.8	-0.01	16.6	18.6	-1.99
Bo Outlaw	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	12.6	16.8	-4.23	19.1	16.7	2.40
Stephon Marbury	80	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.66	13	-15	28	14.1	20.5	-6.42	18.5	12.7	5.81
Amar'e Stoudemire	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	7	-16	13.9	15.3	-1.43	17.6	18.0	-0.39
Shawn Marion	83	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	1	-4	15.0	12.1	2.87	17.3	23.6	-6.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 130, WAS 122	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0	95.2%
LAC 114, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
ATL 102, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%