NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	130		Excitement	5.9 [660]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +34.8%
Washington Wizards	122		Comeback	1.1 [568]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -16.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35	0.38	0.06	0.09	34	74%	0.41	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Jae Crowder	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	7	77%	0.15	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	73%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Rose	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	-0.01	0.05	19	71%	0.22	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	10	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	14	70%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	34%	-0.14	1	-0.02	12	42%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	35.5	14.4	40.2	2.8	30.0	153.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.8%

CLE +15.5%

CLE +1.5%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	14.7	127.5	118.4	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	11.4	13.6	21.0	14.4
WAS	13.4	14.9	13.1	13.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-7	22	13.4	17.1	-3.66	13.4	14.6	-1.24
LeBron James	90	91	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	14.9	10.8	4.02	13.1	18.2	-5.17
Kyle Korver	46	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-7	22	13.0	15.5	-2.44	14.0	13.4	0.57
Derrick Rose	61	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	3	2	14.1	14.8	-0.75	13.1	14.6	-1.46
Kevin Love	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	7	-6	14.0	14.9	-0.95	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Jeff Green	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	12	-16	15.6	13.2	2.37	14.5	12.8	1.68
JR Smith	62	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	9	-10	15.1	13.3	1.74	13.1	14.6	-1.46
Channing Frye	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	5	-2	13.7	14.6	-0.83	16.8	12.8	4.05
Ante Zizic	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	5	-2	13.7	14.5	-0.77	13.9	13.6	0.29
Dwyane Wade	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.12	-3	11	-14	16.4	13.6	2.72	16.1	12.8	3.38

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-7	6	19.0	13.0	6.02	14.4	14.4	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-7	6	17.0	12.7	4.27	14.9	14.2	0.63
Markieff Morris	34	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-7	6	13.7	13.7	-0.00	12.9	15.0	-2.12
Mike Scott	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	14.9	13.0	1.89	13.5	14.9	-1.45
Jodie Meeks	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-7	6	14.4	13.2	1.23	16.2	13.0	3.16
Bradley Beal	80	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-7	6	13.1	15.8	-2.76	14.6	13.5	1.10
Marcin Gortat	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.3	14.3	-1.05	12.9	16.7	-3.82
Otto Porter Jr.	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	12.8	15.2	-2.41	14.6	14.1	0.50
Kelly Oubre Jr.	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	13.7	13.7	0.00	15.0	12.9	2.12
John Wall	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.7	18.4	-5.71	14.4	14.2	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	95.2%
CLE 98, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 96, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%