NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.8 [686]		MVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): +12.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	1.4 [268]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -11.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	69%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	6	92%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	22	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	12	52%	0.09	7	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	19	58%	0.07	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.08
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	11	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.8	29.6	15.5	26.5	2.5	32.2	131.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.5%

CLE +2.3%

MIN -1.9%

CLE +7.0%

CLE +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.6	103.2	91.6	102.8
season	15.5	15.3		99.5	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.6		104.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	15.2	15.1	17.6	15.2
MIN	17.2	13.6	16.2	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-1	13	15.3	15.1	0.24	15.2	15.1	0.03
Antawn Jamison	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	4	3	14.5	17.0	-2.46	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Alonzo Gee	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	1	9	15.5	14.7	0.84	15.1	15.3	-0.24
Daniel Gibson	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	6	-1	16.8	13.8	3.07	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Anderson Varejao	69	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	14.4	17.2	-2.75	15.3	14.9	0.38
Omri Casspi	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	6	-1	14.0	15.8	-1.82	16.4	14.4	2.07
Samardo Samuels	14	15	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	17.3	14.8	2.50	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Anthony Parker	51	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	11	-11	14.6	15.8	-1.19	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Kyrie Irving	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	11	-11	14.6	16.0	-1.40	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Tristan Thompson	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	6	-1	17.0	14.5	2.48	15.3	15.1	0.22
Ryan Hollins	12	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	8	-5	17.0	14.9	2.11	16.7	15.0	1.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.3	15.4	-7.05	17.7	15.0	2.71
Anthony Randolph	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-13	15	13.0	15.6	-2.56	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Wesley Johnson	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-8	5	16.6	14.3	2.28	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Darko Milicic	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-9	7	16.7	13.9	2.73	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Michael Beasley	53	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-12	13	15.9	14.2	1.78	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Wayne Ellington	29	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	13.6	15.9	-2.31	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Ricky Rubio	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.3	-1.95	16.2	13.7	2.43
Derrick Williams	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	14.3	16.2	-1.85	15.9	14.3	1.56
Anthony Tolliver	37	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	3	-17	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.3	15.1	0.20
Luke Ridnour	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	0	-11	15.5	13.9	1.68	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Kevin Love	80	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.6	13.0	2.56	15.2	15.1	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 104, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 133, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.36,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%