NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	4.8 [879]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +14.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	2.1 [964]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -16.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	19	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	10	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	73%	0.12	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	14	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	11	55%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	19	38%	-0.08	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.4	30.3	17.7	28.0	3.0	32.4	140.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +45.1%

MIA +9.0%

CLE -15.3%

MIA +13.7%

CLE -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	15.1	96.9	85.7	105.2
season	15.6	15.2		109.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.8		106.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.1	11.4	13.0	15.7	13.8
CLE	16.2	17.8	15.3	13.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-6	23	13.7	13.9	-0.17	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Michael Beasley	54	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	0	11	14.1	13.5	0.60	14.5	16.9	-2.46
Norris Cole	42	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	2	7	13.6	13.9	-0.38	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Chris Bosh	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	5	1	13.7	13.9	-0.12	16.0	14.9	1.08
LeBron James	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	11	-11	14.0	13.2	0.82	16.0	14.4	1.63
Ray Allen	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	13.9	13.7	0.12	14.3	16.6	-2.23
Chris Andersen	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	13.9	13.7	0.12	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Mario Chalmers	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	9	-7	13.7	13.9	-0.25	15.8	15.3	0.42
Rashard Lewis	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	11	-11	13.5	14.1	-0.60	17.3	14.2	3.11

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-7	3	18.9	15.0	3.93	13.8	13.8	0.02
Anderson Varejao	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-10	9	14.1	16.9	-2.84	14.5	13.2	1.21
Dion Waiters	68	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-13	15	14.5	18.1	-3.55	14.3	12.6	1.76
Sergey Karasev	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-9	7	14.5	16.3	-1.82	13.1	14.3	-1.14
Earl Clark	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-11	11	14.2	17.5	-3.33	14.0	13.5	0.55
Alonzo Gee	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	0	-11	17.4	14.9	2.49	13.4	13.9	-0.57
Tristan Thompson	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	16.9	14.5	2.39	13.9	13.7	0.17
Jarrett Jack	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	14.8	18.6	-3.83	13.6	14.6	-1.09
Andrew Bynum	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	17.5	13.8	3.68	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Kyrie Irving	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	0	-11	16.8	13.1	3.68	14.1	13.2	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SAS 91, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0	94.8%
GSW 131, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%