NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	4.6 [876]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +16.4%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	2.4 [556]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -11.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.02	17	66%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	16	58%	0.11	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	70%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.02	12	72%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	32.2	15.5	25.4	1.7	27.3	129.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.0%

SAS +2.2%

SAS +7.4%

UTA -0.8%

UTA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.5	98.9	92.2	101.6
season	15.7	16.3		102.5	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	13.3	16.5	18.7	16.0
UTA	13.8	18.8	17.0	13.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	55	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	16.9	14.5	2.37	15.8	15.5	0.25
Bruce Bowen	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-4	16	15.3	17.3	-2.06	15.8	15.5	0.33
Tim Duncan	82	81	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	16.3	13.0	3.32	15.4	18.4	-3.06
David Robinson	36	35	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-6	20	14.5	16.9	-2.39	16.2	15.4	0.84
Manu Ginobili	64	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	7	-6	15.8	16.2	-0.37	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Malik Rose	57	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	7	-6	15.5	16.7	-1.27	15.9	15.4	0.44
Stephen Jackson	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	5	-2	16.8	14.5	2.34	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Danny Ferry	5	6	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	21.0	15.7	5.33	17.3	15.6	1.76
Speedy Claxton	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.5	16.7	-2.19	16.0	15.5	0.43
Steve Kerr	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	14.6	16.0	-1.43	13.3	15.9	-2.52
Kevin Willis	4	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	16	-24	22.2	15.7	6.58	13.2	15.8	-2.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	2	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	7.0	15.9	-8.89	16.0	16.0	0.04
John Amaechi	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	16.1	15.6	0.53	13.6	16.7	-3.09
DeShawn Stevenson	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-2	-4	18.1	15.1	2.92	13.2	16.6	-3.34
Mark Jackson	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-7	6	16.1	15.4	0.68	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Scott Padgett	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-5	2	17.0	15.2	1.76	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Tony Massenburg	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.3	15.8	-0.51	17.3	15.4	1.83
Greg Ostertag	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-5	2	15.7	15.7	0.04	16.3	15.6	0.69
Calbert Cheaney	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-8	8	14.9	16.5	-1.54	17.5	14.3	3.22
Andrei Kirilenko	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.1	15.8	0.30
Karl Malone	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	15.2	17.0	-1.76	16.2	15.4	0.76
John Stockton	49	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	1	-10	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.4	15.4	0.93
Matt Harpring	58	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	15.6	15.8	-0.24	15.4	17.1	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0	95.2%
MIN 115, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIA 95, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%