NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	5.4 [763]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +20.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.9 [310]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -13.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.03	-0.01	10	96%	0.27	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	59%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	12	56%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	13	65%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	16	50%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	31.2	15.6	23.2	1.6	42.2	139.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +41.8%

MEM +3.4%

MEM +8.9%

POR -6.4%

MEM +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	16.7	15.6	110.7	108.4	104.4
season	17.1	16.6		103.5	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		109.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.6	14.2	19.2	17.6	17.8
POR	17.3	18.5	16.8	14.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	49	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	17.2	18.5	-1.31	17.3	16.0	1.29
Shane Battier	80	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	17.6	20.0	-2.36	16.4	21.2	-4.75
Pau Gasol	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	2	-1	18.0	14.5	3.50	16.7	18.0	-1.35
Bobby Jackson	49	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	16.1	20.1	-3.96	15.7	18.3	-2.57
Eddie Jones	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.39	-2	5	-7	18.3	15.9	2.36	16.3	18.0	-1.63
Antonio Burks	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	0	3	17.4	18.0	-0.52	18.1	15.8	2.30
Hakim Warrick	8	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-1	5	19.5	17.6	1.93	20.3	16.3	4.04
Lorenzen Wright	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	17.9	17.6	0.32	16.8	16.7	0.14
Damon Stoudamire	24	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	4	-5	19.9	16.9	2.97	16.6	16.8	-0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-4	5	7.5	17.0	-9.46	1.0	18.2	-17.16
Viktor Khryapa	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-6	9	16.4	17.1	-0.69	19.0	16.5	2.49
Ha Seung-Jin	17	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	20.6	15.7	4.92	16.4	18.0	-1.64
Travis Outlaw	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	5	-13	20.9	16.4	4.50	12.5	18.2	-5.65
Theo Ratliff	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	16.0	17.6	-1.65	19.5	15.5	4.05
Martell Webster	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-2	1	16.7	16.8	-0.13	15.7	19.0	-3.23
Jarrett Jack	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	18.7	15.8	2.91	17.4	17.9	-0.45
Steve Blake	61	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-5	7	16.2	18.1	-1.91	17.9	17.3	0.64
Juan Dixon	72	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.51	7	-10	17	16.0	21.3	-5.23	18.1	14.6	3.58
Zach Randolph	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.52	5	-8	13	16.2	18.3	-2.06	18.4	15.4	3.08
Ruben Patterson	49	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	8	-19	17.4	15.7	1.69	16.5	19.6	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0	95.2%
DAL 99, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
SAC 122, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%