NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.8 [844]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +14.3%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	1.2 [964]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.02	0.04	18	56%	0.05	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	52%	0.05	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	18	35%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.06	16	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	31.6	16.3	26.3	1.6	36.0	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.9%

DAL +6.9%

SAC -3.4%

DAL +17.7%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.3	103.1	91.9	106.0
season	15.2	15.2		107.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	12.0	15.8	15.1	13.7
SAC	16.0	15.1	17.6	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	54	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	12.9	14.6	-1.69	16.4	15.1	1.33
Jose Juan Barea	69	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-4	16	12.8	15.9	-3.09	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Josh Howard	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	13.3	14.3	-1.02	16.0	15.6	0.44
Jason Terry	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	1	6	13.4	14.2	-0.87	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Shawn Marion	55	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-3	14	12.9	14.7	-1.86	16.1	15.5	0.57
Dirk Nowitzki	69	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	2	4	14.6	11.3	3.25	15.6	16.5	-0.94
Jason Kidd	59	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	11	-14	15.0	11.5	3.46	16.3	15.0	1.32
Kris Humphries	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	17	-26	14.2	13.6	0.56	12.6	16.0	-3.41
Erick Dampier	42	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	11	-14	14.6	12.9	1.69	15.3	16.2	-0.90

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-11	14	15.2	16.0	-0.84	13.2	13.8	-0.65
Donte Greene	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-12	16	15.3	16.6	-1.31	13.7	13.7	0.01
Andres Nocioni	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.8	0.02	13.9	13.6	0.27
Ime Udoka	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	16.0	15.8	0.21	12.8	13.9	-1.16
Tyreke Evans	75	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-6	4	15.7	16.2	-0.43	14.6	10.2	4.39
Sergio Rodriguez	25	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	14.7	16.2	-1.55	10.4	14.6	-4.21
Spencer Hawes	47	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	16.5	15.2	1.24	13.0	14.2	-1.27
Beno Udrih	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	0	-8	16.3	15.1	1.17	14.0	13.0	1.02
Omri Casspi	86	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	15.7	16.6	-0.89	13.6	14.1	-0.56
Jason Thompson	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	5	-18	16.3	14.6	1.71	14.2	12.2	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NYK 112, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.8%
DAL 103, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%