NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	4.3 [985]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls	67		Comeback	1.2 [869]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -12.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	15	79%	0.20	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	11	44%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.04	0.01	15	53%	0.06	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	41%	0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	11	46%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.6	28.2	18.7	29.4	2.6	29.0	139.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +42.7%

CHI -3.1%

CHI -10.6%

MIA +19.4%

MIA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHI	NBA	MIA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.4	94.5	75.3	104.1
season	15.7	16.6		110.2	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.9		102.3	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	11.7	17.7	15.3	16.0	15.0
CHI	16.0	16.6	16.0	20.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-4	27	14.9	15.1	-0.20	18.0	13.8	4.23
Shane Battier	43	42	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	2	15	14.6	15.3	-0.66	18.0	16.2	1.72
Ray Allen	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	5	9	16.2	13.3	2.88	16.9	17.2	-0.34
Chris Bosh	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	7	5	14.7	15.7	-0.99	16.4	18.5	-2.06
Mario Chalmers	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	13	-7	14.1	16.4	-2.33	16.1	18.6	-2.52
Norris Cole	36	34	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	6	7	16.4	14.1	2.33	18.3	16.3	2.07
Chris Andersen	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	12	-5	15.4	14.8	0.64	18.7	16.4	2.33
LeBron James	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	13	-7	14.4	16.6	-2.12	16.3	19.3	-3.02
Rashard Lewis	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.0	14.9	2.11	16.3	17.1	-0.74
James Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.0	14.9	2.11	16.3	17.1	-0.74
Joel Anthony	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.0	14.9	2.11	16.3	17.1	-0.74
Udonis Haslem	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	22	-25	14.2	15.4	-1.19	16.0	17.7	-1.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	16.3	17.1	-0.74	17.0	14.9	2.11
Vladimir Radmanovic	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	16.3	17.1	-0.74	17.0	14.9	2.11
Daequan Cook	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	18.8	16.9	1.92	19.1	14.6	4.51
Nate Robinson	52	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-12	5	17.7	16.2	1.51	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Richard Hamilton	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-14	9	15.9	18.3	-2.39	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Marco Belinelli	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-8	-3	17.1	17.0	0.09	17.1	14.1	2.98
Joakim Noah	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-11	3	16.5	19.7	-3.22	15.1	14.4	0.70
Jimmy Butler	35	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-4	-11	19.5	15.4	4.12	15.7	14.5	1.18
Carlos Boozer	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	17.4	16.3	1.07	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Luol Deng	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-11	3	16.3	18.8	-2.54	14.1	17.0	-2.82
Marquis Teague	37	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-7	-5	16.2	17.7	-1.51	16.1	14.2	1.92
Taj Gibson	37	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-3	-13	17.8	16.5	1.22	15.1	14.9	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
GSW 108, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 131, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%