NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	96		Excitement	4.9 [852]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): +8.8%
Golden State Warriors	81		Comeback	1.2 [281]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -17.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	13	56%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	14	56%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	17	44%	-0.03	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	21	34%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	0.6	24.5	14.8	26.1	2.4	28.6	122.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +38.6%

DEN +6.4%

DEN +7.8%

GSW -0.2%

GSW -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	14.7	101.1	87.1	107.5
season	14.7	13.7		111.2	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		105.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.0	15.3	17.6	16.6	16.1
GSW	13.8	14.0	13.7	16.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-4	23	16.6	15.3	1.27	13.9	15.4	-1.44
Gary Harris	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	3	9	15.7	17.2	-1.48	15.0	13.0	2.04
Nikola Jokic	73	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-2	19	16.6	14.4	2.21	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Wilson Chandler	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	2	11	16.4	15.6	0.76	15.0	13.5	1.45
Trey Lyles	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	16.8	15.1	1.70	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Jamal Murray	55	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	15	-15	14.5	18.3	-3.75	15.0	13.8	1.21
Torrey Craig	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	12	-9	17.5	15.5	1.97	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Mason Plumlee	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	16	-17	15.1	17.2	-2.09	14.9	14.1	0.81
Malik Beasley	20	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	12	-9	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.5	14.8	-1.24
Juan Hernangomez	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	15.3	16.1	-0.80	17.7	14.4	3.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinn Cook	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	15.0	14.5	0.51	18.8	15.9	2.91
JaVale McGee	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-17	19	13.6	14.7	-1.07	19.8	15.6	4.27
Kevon Looney	10	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-14	13	14.4	14.5	-0.13	16.8	16.0	0.83
Draymond Green	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-9	3	15.1	13.0	2.08	15.7	17.1	-1.49
Patrick McCaw	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-5	-5	14.9	14.1	0.85	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Omri Casspi	39	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-14	13	13.4	15.3	-1.86	17.5	15.0	2.46
Jordan Bell	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	14.7	14.3	0.38	15.0	17.1	-2.02
David West	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.3	14.6	-0.32	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Klay Thompson	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-8	1	14.6	14.3	0.34	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Andre Iguodala	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-8	1	13.7	15.3	-1.60	16.4	15.8	0.55
Kevin Durant	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-2	-11	14.5	14.5	-0.03	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Nick Young	35	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	3	-21	15.1	14.2	0.96	16.9	15.6	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 118, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIA 86, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAL 108, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%