NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	5.1 [807]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): +14.0%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.4 [362]		LVP	Pops Mensah-Bonsu (TOR): -11.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.03	15	53%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	23	61%	0.18	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	48%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	24.2	17.7	24.0	1.6	30.6	123.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +56.0%

TOR -5.8%

TOR -6.8%

NYK +2.9%

NYK +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	116.7	107.3	106.4
season	13.8	15.1		106.2	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	13.9	15.1	16.6	14.6
TOR	17.1	15.5	16.2	12.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-2	13	14.6	14.6	-0.01	15.5	15.0	0.57
Nate Robinson	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-3	15	13.7	16.1	-2.31	15.8	14.8	0.96
Chris Duhon	61	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	1	7	15.5	13.1	2.39	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Al Harrington	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	16.0	12.6	3.40	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Quentin Richardson	49	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	13.7	15.6	-1.88	16.0	14.7	1.23
David Lee	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Wilson Chandler	69	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Larry Hughes	35	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	13.1	15.5	-2.39	15.9	15.1	0.78
Chris Wilcox	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	13.7	15.1	-1.36	15.9	15.1	0.78

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-11	13	15.6	15.3	0.33	15.0	14.5	0.52
Roko Leni Ukic	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-9	9	15.8	15.2	0.57	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Anthony Parker	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-9	9	15.1	15.9	-0.84	14.9	14.1	0.77
Jason Kapono	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	2	-13	16.4	15.2	1.20	12.6	14.9	-2.35
Joey Graham	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.8	15.2	0.61	11.9	15.5	-3.58
Chris Bosh	84	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-10	11	15.0	18.0	-3.01	14.9	12.3	2.67
Andrea Bargnani	75	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.5	14.9	0.65	15.2	12.5	2.63
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	27	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	4	-17	16.2	15.0	1.14	12.3	15.4	-3.13
Shawn Marion	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-5	1	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.3	11.5	3.77
Jose Calderon	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	0	-9	15.2	15.8	-0.57	15.1	13.5	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 110, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIL 95, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%