NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	4.3 [963]		MVP	Kendall Marshall (MIL): +7.2%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	1.3 [1037]		LVP	Cole Aldrich (NYK): -7.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	8	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	45%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	4	-0.06	6	50%	0.00
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	9	22%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	16	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	11	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	10	60%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.5	15.8	26.3	2.7	28.3	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.5%

MIL +17.5%

MIL +7.8%

MIL +8.8%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.1	103.3	89.1	104.2
season	14.5	16.1		100.5	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.3	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	12.6	17.8	18.1	15.7
NYK	15.5	14.6	18.2	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Kendall Marshall	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	3	7	14.8	16.5	-1.72	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Brandon Knight	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	16.0	15.1	0.92	15.8	15.2	0.61
Johnny O'Bryant	43	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	15.3	16.0	-0.67	15.2	16.0	-0.86
O.J. Mayo	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	16.0	15.4	0.59	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	6	1	16.1	15.0	1.09	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Jerryd Bayless	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	9	-5	15.2	16.3	-1.12	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Jared Dudley	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	5	3	15.7	15.7	-0.03	16.4	15.0	1.38
Khris Middleton	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	8	-3	15.9	15.5	0.30	16.0	15.3	0.64
John Henson	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	8	-3	16.7	15.4	1.26	17.2	15.2	2.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	28	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-11	9	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.0	15.5	0.52
Cole Aldrich	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-13	13	15.4	15.8	-0.32	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Pablo Prigioni	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-4	-5	17.0	15.4	1.59	13.0	16.1	-3.13
Shane Larkin	42	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	17.0	14.5	2.45	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Jason Smith	46	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	16.4	14.8	1.63	16.9	14.7	2.24
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	14.8	19.2	-4.41	16.2	13.7	2.51
Jose Calderon	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	15.0	16.4	-1.42	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Cleanthony Early	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	16.4	15.1	1.28	16.5	15.1	1.39
J.R. Smith	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-7	1	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.7	15.6	0.04
Quincy Acy	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	14.9	16.7	-1.72	14.7	17.4	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 99, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIN 100, DAL 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%