NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	6.7 [504]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +30.2%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	3.7 [573]		LVP	Joe Johnson (UTA): -14.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.10	0.00	26	68%	0.34	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.12	0.06	20	47%	0.10	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Draymond Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	47%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
David West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	2	100%	0.05	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	8	68%	0.16	0	0.00	15	47%	-0.05
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.04	18	58%	0.17	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.09
Raul Neto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	11	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	12	29%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.3	33.5	16.6	26.6	3.3	40.2	151.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.8%

UTA -6.0%

GSW +0.6%

GSW +9.9%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.8	108.5	97.8	107.7
season	13.5	16.1		114.9	108.0
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.1	16.2	13.4	18.5	15.4
UTA	14.7	15.1	16.0	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	27	25	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.13	17	-6	23	13.3	16.3	-3.02	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.08	18	-7	25	15.0	17.1	-2.08	14.9	17.7	-2.78
Andre Iguodala	55	52	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-4	19	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Stephen Curry	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-6	23	14.8	17.7	-2.90	15.1	16.3	-1.16
Draymond Green	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	8	-5	16.1	13.4	2.68	16.0	13.4	2.59
Klay Thompson	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	7	-3	15.5	15.1	0.38	15.3	15.9	-0.68
Shaun Livingston	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	15.0	15.6	-0.61	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Zaza Pachulia	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	13	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.89	16.1	15.1	0.95
Ian Clark	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	20	-29	19.0	14.8	4.16	17.7	15.0	2.62
David West	31	31	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	25	-39	17.3	14.5	2.85	16.2	15.0	1.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	48	48	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-14	17	16.2	14.5	1.74	16.4	14.3	2.09
Raul Neto	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-8	5	14.0	15.5	-1.47	13.2	15.5	-2.26
Dante Exum	5	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-7	3	14.4	15.4	-1.04	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Shelvin Mack	71	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-17	23	15.6	14.7	0.92	15.9	13.9	2.01
Derrick Favors	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.9	15.5	-0.54	13.4	15.7	-2.36
Joe Ingles	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.0	14.4	1.59	15.6	15.2	0.36
Joe Johnson	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	15.2	15.6	-0.47	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Rudy Gobert	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.9	-0.69	15.4	15.4	0.03
Rodney Hood	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	15.2	15.7	-0.46	15.7	14.9	0.78
Gordon Hayward	83	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	5	-21	14.9	19.7	-4.83	15.0	18.9	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	93.3%
ATL 104, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.23,0.31,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%
LAC 96, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.0%