NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	7.4 [338]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +14.8%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	2.7 [333]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -23.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	19	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.10	-0.03	18	40%	0.14	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	12	42%	-0.09
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	9	30%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	14	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	23	54%	0.23	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	72%	0.15	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	17	39%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	13	15%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	7	0%	-0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.4	16.4	28.5	3.3	37.5	143.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.5%

CHI -20.8%

CHI -9.8%

LAC +17.6%

CHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	16.9	15.1	103.2	92.5	104.2
season	14.6	15.5		110.5	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.6	14.3	11.4	14.0
CHI	17.6	16.4	17.0	16.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	80	78	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.24	19	-9	28	13.3	18.4	-5.06	17.2	15.4	1.83
Chris Paul	75	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.07	20	-10	30	13.3	17.0	-3.68	17.1	16.2	0.91
Matt Barnes	68	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	0	10	13.8	14.6	-0.78	16.8	17.1	-0.30
JJ Redick	74	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-3	16	13.3	16.9	-3.60	17.1	16.4	0.64
Jamal Crawford	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	1	8	13.4	15.9	-2.53	16.8	17.3	-0.53
Hedo Turkoglu	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	16.3	13.7	2.54	17.7	16.8	0.90
Austin Rivers	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.8	17.4	-1.51
Jordan Hamilton	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	12	-14	42.0	13.7	28.27	17.5	16.9	0.58
Spencer Hawes	42	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	17	-24	15.7	12.7	3.02	17.3	16.6	0.73
Glen Davis	20	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	20	-30	17.4	13.1	4.29	15.6	17.3	-1.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	38	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-15	20	17.3	16.7	0.64	15.8	12.7	3.19
E'Twaun Moore	1	0	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	4.0	17.1	-13.08	0.0	14.0	-14.03
Joakim Noah	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-10	10	17.4	15.9	1.44	15.1	11.5	3.62
Mike Dunleavy	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	0	-10	16.8	17.1	-0.29	14.4	13.4	1.02
Pau Gasol	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.9	17.1	-0.24	13.2	15.8	-2.61
Tony Snell	67	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	16.8	17.4	-0.62	13.6	15.0	-1.33
Aaron Brooks	61	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	17.3	16.3	0.95	13.1	16.0	-2.90
Kirk Hinrich	50	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	0	-10	17.0	16.9	0.10	14.1	14.0	0.15
Nikola Mirotic	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	-1	-8	16.5	17.8	-1.38	13.5	15.0	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.1%
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.3%
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	92.2%