NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	110		Excitement	6.8 [428]		MVP	Keon Clark (TOR): +27.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	5.2 [167]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -19.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Clark	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.16	0.00	9	80%	0.28	0	0.00	7	86%	0.05
Alvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	2	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.03	0.05	24	64%	0.19	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	12	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	13	67%	0.10	1	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	20	43%	-0.05	6	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.3	1.7	32.8	14.8	26.0	2.5	31.4	159.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.1%

TOR +16.8%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +2.1%

SEA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.5	115.8	103.1	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	15.0	17.9	14.5	15.5
SEA	15.8	13.8	14.7	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	89	89	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.07	23	-12	35	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.9	11.9	3.02
Alvin Williams	86	87	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-7	25	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.7	14.2	0.48
Vince Carter	91	92	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-7	25	15.6	13.0	2.62	14.8	11.2	3.55
Keon Clark	56	57	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	4	3	14.6	16.9	-2.32	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Chris Childs	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	13	-15	14.6	16.0	-1.40	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Morris Peterson	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	2	7	16.4	14.4	2.00	15.4	13.8	1.57
Dell Curry	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	10	-9	15.1	15.6	-0.48	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Tracy Murray	9	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	22	-33	13.3	15.7	-2.40	11.8	15.0	-3.18
Antonio Davis	45	46	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.05	-8	19	-27	16.7	14.5	2.21	14.6	14.7	-0.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	34	33	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-19	27	14.0	15.0	-1.02	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Jelani McCoy	17	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-6	1	16.6	14.2	2.42	15.7	15.5	0.22
Ruben Patterson	69	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-14	17	13.9	16.5	-2.54	15.8	14.8	1.07
Patrick Ewing	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	0	-11	15.3	14.1	1.20	16.4	14.7	1.68
Desmond Mason	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-9	7	14.6	14.8	-0.23	16.5	13.1	3.40
Vin Baker	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-7	3	14.3	15.2	-0.90	14.4	17.6	-3.22
Shammond Williams	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-7	3	14.7	14.6	0.03	13.9	16.8	-2.91
Rashard Lewis	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	10	-31	14.8	14.4	0.33	15.6	15.2	0.45
Gary Payton	82	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.12	-19	8	-27	15.0	12.8	2.19	15.7	14.4	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	93.3%
BOS 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.4%
POR 83, CHH 70	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.23,0.07,0.08,0,0,0	91.8%