NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	6.2 [537]		MVP	Greg Anthony (POR): +14.8%
Charlotte Hornets	70		Comeback	3.7 [335]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -25.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.09	-0.03	4	62%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	53%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	15	47%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.04	0.01	11	25%	-0.18	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	14	34%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.07	0.02	8	22%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.22	-0.07	-0.04	20	17%	-0.21	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.2	15.7	24.3	2.6	29.3	124.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +70.9%

CHH -4.1%

POR +10.6%

CHH -28.6%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHH	NBA	POR	CHH	NBA
this game	16.8	16.8	15.5	97.6	81.4	100.9
season	15.8	15.8		103.9	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.5	18.7	16.9	20.2	16.8
CHH	16.2	15.6	17.4	18.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.03	27	-14	41	16.1	24.1	-8.05	17.1	14.7	2.31
Dale Davis	52	52	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.01	23	-10	33	16.9	16.7	0.28	17.9	15.3	2.62
Steven Smith	49	48	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-3	19	17.7	15.6	2.08	17.1	16.5	0.67
Arvydas Sabonis	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	5	3	17.7	15.3	2.32	16.8	17.0	-0.24
Greg Anthony	23	22	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	10	-7	21.0	15.3	5.71	17.3	16.7	0.63
Damon Stoudamire	62	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	3	7	15.3	21.0	-5.71	16.7	17.3	-0.63
Stacey Augmon	54	55	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	4	5	14.6	20.7	-6.10	16.3	17.8	-1.45
Shawn Kemp	8	8	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.15	-14	27	-41	24.1	16.1	8.05	14.7	17.1	-2.31
Bonzi Wells	45	48	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.08	-17	30	-47	17.4	16.2	1.25	16.1	17.8	-1.64

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-22	31	17.4	16.6	0.83	18.6	16.1	2.44
Baron Davis	72	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-16	19	16.6	18.1	-1.46	18.2	10.5	7.65
Elden Campbell	66	63	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-14	15	16.7	17.2	-0.52	17.7	14.5	3.15
Hersey Hawkins	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	16.8	16.9	-0.13	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Eddie Robinson	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	-3	-7	16.6	17.2	-0.59	15.5	18.7	-3.24
P.J. Brown	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-13	13	16.8	16.9	-0.10	17.9	15.2	2.72
Jamaal Magloire	20	22	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	17.2	16.7	0.52	14.5	17.7	-3.15
Derrick Coleman	43	44	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	0.01	-25	12	-37	16.8	16.9	-0.02	16.1	17.6	-1.50
David Wesley	75	74	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	0.04	-27	14	-41	17.1	15.1	2.02	15.9	22.8	-6.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.23,0.07,0.08,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, BKN 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%
TOR 110, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	91.8%
GSW 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	91.5%